Champions League · resolved market
FC København vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52b1639495fb556af53a5a4d542fdcf7e6d8b7ec3725c1417e2f0fe575695d2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 1,354$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.81 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 1,140$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.35 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Yes | 50c | 1,120$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 513.58$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.86 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 58c | 422.37$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 413$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.9 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 261.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 53c | 218.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 47c | 213.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.53 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 51c | 197.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 50c | 158.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 45c | 102.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 46c | 65.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 34c | 57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b5…8dd9backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 53c | 26.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…fe7abacked No | 55c | 22.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 50c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC København vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC København vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)Qairat FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.