Champions League · resolved market
FC København vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82018346d6cfd9c6285e8bd2358c063abd5b791d474a8355eebf6b22710860bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 33c | 7,695$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.23 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 66c | 4,576$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…ef20backed Under | 67c | 3,513$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Under | 68c | 1,912$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 34c | 1,872$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.44 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 31c | 1,427$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.69 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 67c | 678.07$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 65c | 550$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.84 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 521.37$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.02 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 37c | 397.3$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.3 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 72c | 254.17$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8f4bbacked Under | 49c | 230$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 35c | 201.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 34c | 184.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Over | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…caccbacked Under | 55c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 64c | 130$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 40c | 125.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 34c | 108.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 33c | 87.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…8729backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…11bfbacked Under | 65c | 66.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Under | 68c | 63.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Under | 72c | 52.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 63c | 49.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -10.8wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Under | 75c | 35.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 67c | 27.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…40f4backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Under | 72c | 20.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…7411backed Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Under | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 66c | 15.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC København vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5this page
- FC København vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)Qairat FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.