TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes20c4,081$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c3,799$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.746,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes21c3,722$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.6226444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes21c2,788$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.6515944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes21c2,609$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.8920448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No80c2,507$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.441,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes5c2,461$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes21c2,206$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.261,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd070…a978backed Yes21c1,786$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3752330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…d052backed Yes21c1,714$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No79c1,334$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.145271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes22c1,324$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.357929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes7c1,280$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.33941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes21c1,262$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.492,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No78c1,100$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24731053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Yes21c1,045$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.392552%13 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No80c1,038$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.368670.9%61 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No79c1,017$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3530666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes23c947.21$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8641437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Yes7c857.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No78c849.41$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.331,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes14c829.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.823531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes20c700$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes21c653$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1315748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes7c624.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2725530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204139%16 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd923…aed5backed Yes13c595.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805538.2%21 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No80c555.75$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.155276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No80c525$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.671,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb8…71f0backed No77c502.12$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.491855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes21c502$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4214456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes5c500.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.024930.6%15 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10530739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No79c481.8$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1812448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ab…1152backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-84.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed No80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No79c364.59$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5929458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73e…021cbacked Yes7c356.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.02219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-66.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…9b10backed Yes6c338.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f8…eb99backed Yes21c313.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes21c307.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c305.69$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.312,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6119…d7fabacked Yes7c276.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202020%4 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-62%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked No79c263.29$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.291947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+38.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c259.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No79c258$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1845751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506547.7%31 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbcc…91d3backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes22c225.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5420027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes24c206.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4658445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2d…7fa9backed Yes5c202$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4230050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa44…945dbacked Yes22c195.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd8…557abacked Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Yes24c161.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No79c142.1$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8439156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a52…45e7backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdad0…32fcbacked Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Yes21c110$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.18144.4%36 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No78c109.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.225551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2936…07f5backed Yes10c106.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110932.1%35 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2319632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011828%33 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2216851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd962…1d5cbacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b8…1417backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207536%27 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205832.8%19 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No79c92.19$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3615350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff9b…9b1fbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-41.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010048%48 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…ad8fbacked Yes21c90.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1980%0 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No78c89.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6915764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78d…ecf3backed Yes23c85.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510950.5%55 W · 54 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159637.5%36 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512162.8%76 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe7…6ab1backed No80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158542.4%36 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977f…7029backed Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153930.8%12 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03e…2d2bbacked No79c66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa534…c089backed No79c65.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.687100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes22c62.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.741,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No79c60.83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6332453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…2026backed Yes22c54.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122825%7 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No79c54.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3533753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e92…bd31backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.