Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Elias Ymer vs Coleman Wong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce9680e4e2a9bcabf41be4ef396730d69483d8b3ccc1d613f2b8fc580f0ca36e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ymerof Ymer, Wong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wong | 38c | 15,000$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,749.88 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Ymer | 50c | 9,244$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.26 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ymer | 59c | 8,929$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ymer | 54c | 8,398$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.09 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Wong | 7c | 2,872$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.17 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ymer | 62c | 2,299$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.49 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Ymer | 24c | 1,366$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.37 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ymer | 36c | 1,308$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.96 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Wong | 47c | 1,287$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Ymer | 23c | 1,087$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.95 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wong | 22c | 1,062$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.45 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Wong | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.76 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Wong | 52c | 963.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Ymer | 25c | 836.4$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.3 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Wong | 13c | 600$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Wong | 13c | 599.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…081bbacked Ymer | 42c | 476.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Ymer | 25c | 400$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Wong | 13c | 399.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Wong | 79c | 346.17$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.03 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Ymer | 34c | 337.94$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.75 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ymer | 51c | 323.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.34 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Ymer | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Wong | 28c | 264$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Ymer | 33c | 239.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…c468backed Wong | 74c | 225.59$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Ymer | 38c | 224.63$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…16e3backed Wong | 74c | 178.74$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Wong | 44c | 152.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Wong | 68c | 152.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wong | 45c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ymer | 33c | 114$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Wong | 74c | 107.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Ymer | 55c | 107.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…7593backed Wong | 35c | 103$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Wong | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wong | 39c | 99.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Wong | 74c | 88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Ymer | 39c | 80.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Ymer | 29c | 76.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…8f87backed Wong | 14c | 75.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721e…7811backed Wong | 69c | 69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Wong | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Ymer | 25c | 62.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ymer | 23c | 61.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…40e5backed Wong | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ymer | 26c | 55.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Wong | 64c | 55.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Wong | 45c | 53.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Wong | 46c | 52.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Wong | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Wong | 57c | 49.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Ymer | 26c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Ymer | 61c | 40.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Ymer | 57c | 35.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Ymer | 60c | 34.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Wong | 52c | 31.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…9ab3backed Wong | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Ymer | 62c | 26.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Wong | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Ymer | 64c | 22.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Ymer | 67c | 20.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…8d1bbacked Ymer | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…9589backed Ymer | 69c | 14.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.