TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,352 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked 76ers42c29,518$12,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,329.9354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks58c18,007$10,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,533.639,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers55c7,999$4,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,381.791,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hawks65c7,715$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.0336549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers39c5,861$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44f…8c20backed Hawks58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.212450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Hawks58c2,100$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.7929352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks59c2,002$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8212,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers50c1,950$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.774,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks58c1,918$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.162,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed 76ers54c1,853$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers43c1,601$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers39c1,497$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.153,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers42c1,251$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.913,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks58c1,147$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked 76ers41c971.43$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.2926336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks50c887.22$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.612,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Hawks59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4627158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57c…3e7dbacked Hawks50c800.12$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.121145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed 76ers40c412.9$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1621446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked 76ers8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks59c361.29$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.134,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed 76ers8c354.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.352020%4 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked 76ers43c341.19$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7145646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Hawks59c340.46$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.594454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed 76ers41c270$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.71,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Hawks58c254.36$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0964844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hawks60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed 76ers42c249.16$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6576552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Hawks59c213.02$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3415857%90 W · 68 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers53c208.29$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.13,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed 76ers52c205.73$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9745452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers41c205$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.054,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked 76ers42c173.23$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3656547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Hawks58c149.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6225340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed 76ers66c149.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4561957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Hawks59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5972250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Hawks59c119.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9113151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked 76ers43c116.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2935843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Hawks59c104$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6411759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d6…2067backed Hawks48c103.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hawks45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaec…968cbacked Hawks58c85.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.551435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked 76ers43c85.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6857250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked Hawks59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.759960.6%60 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Hawks59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7561056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Hawks59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7517342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Hawks60c83.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6729844%131 W · 167 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Hawks55c79.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3613738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Hawks59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.731947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Hawks43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.777847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers48c68.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.991,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers57c65.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.612,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked 76ers56c61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0738252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers36c59.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.371,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Hawks59c54.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.247744.2%34 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Hawks43c53.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7823950.6%121 W · 118 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e27…acccbacked Hawks60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Hawks58c49.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.691,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0b…316abacked 76ers43c46.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked 76ers50c46.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3945445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…c767backed Hawks54c46.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1111553%61 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 76ers45c44.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Hawks60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6740541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks45c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.673,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed 76ers40c36.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6925655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed 76ers40c36.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6930151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hawks45c35.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.521,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Hawks58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.624148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac3…0058backed Hawks59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked 76ers54c33.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1848740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Hawks59c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1253839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Hawks58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.666732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked 76ers43c29.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed 76ers44c29.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fb…974abacked Hawks60c29.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.695048%24 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed 76ers42c27.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.560945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Hawks45c26.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4714264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Hawks46c26.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.161,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Hawks42c25.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8936045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked 76ers60c25.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.217844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Hawks46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.588057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfca…2db8backed Hawks58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.44837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks45c24.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.313,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0d…081bbacked Hawks46c22.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c7e…b137backed Hawks58c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2c…6349backed Hawks58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Hawks58c18.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8445460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Hawks58c18.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5520847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.