TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,478 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed Over53c40,570$21,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,067.8829351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under48c13,500$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,48035744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3976…9463backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x131a…b411backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under44c5,810$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.584,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under47c5,727$2,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,691.6958951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under47c5,292$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.3152460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c4,294$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.449,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c4,163$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.748,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c2,863$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.984,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c2,786$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.064,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1752,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c2,255$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3077…d15dbacked Over50c2,201$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under47c2,080$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.637755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,992$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over52c1,958$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.832,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over52c1,899$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.963,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3502…e42cbacked Over52c1,800$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+42.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c1,613$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.321,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over56c1,527$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.0556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad6f…cbcdbacked Under50c1,393$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over68c1,303$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.241,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c996.94$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.733,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over78c870.38$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd6…6543backed Under50c809$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.52334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c738$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.861,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under17c720.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under51c681.83$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.732,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa913…e855backed Under30c586.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1100%0 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under12c397.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7626336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under22c383.92$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4640243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c340.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c290.65$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.612,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Under9c251.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0910623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c250.45$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8964844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under41c201.57$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3253149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c199$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.511,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over74c197.78$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.761,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under51c173.66$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5735843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under37c169.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.263,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c149.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7242853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…2e8abacked Over53c120.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.753447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over54c100.05$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under50c99.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.611943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over51c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.511,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under48c93.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over71c84.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9423657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under47c72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.842,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.91,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over76c56.4$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5836045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Under47c53.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2611652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under47c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9153839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c50.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.212,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under38c49.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8345452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over59c47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2261939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Over57c42.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.437159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017652.3%92 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3af…2c0abacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208662.8%54 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over56c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4646940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over56c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4630840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under47c30.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4529352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Under38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under48c29.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3918143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Over51c27.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6320847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Under49c24.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9714448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5985…a8cabacked Over56c22.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.921353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under47c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3423350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4d…884bbacked Over74c21.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.622669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Under50c21.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.559760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over58c21.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.741,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.414858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…11ffbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbee3…1729backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-59.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over59c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9438540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.