TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$415,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,438 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Hawks47c297,699$140,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157,692.1687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed 76ers53c200,000$106,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers53c74,596$39,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,351.144,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers52c38,731$20,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,214.122,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked 76ers54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,80029055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd97…feecbacked Hawks47c16,383$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,682.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked 76ers54c14,000$7,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5209159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hawks49c10,204$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.0836549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00bb…bc4cbacked Hawks47c7,531$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,991.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+58.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers60c6,408$3,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,832.181,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks47c4,881$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.172,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers54c4,500$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4301,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed 76ers53c3,333$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.4914753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers53c3,319$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.533,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Hawks51c3,095$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.614856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Hawks47c2,620$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.4932150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers59c2,335$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.442,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks46c2,143$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Hawks48c2,029$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.021,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed 76ers54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked 76ers49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks37c1,853$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.74,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked 76ers53c1,700$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.8965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed 76ers60c1,002$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.417042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked 76ers54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks46c983$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.596,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed 76ers54c924.22$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks30c863.49$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.595,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked 76ers52c790.72$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.1826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers52c687.98$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed 76ers55c608.23$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed 76ers53c580$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.414450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Hawks46c475.39$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.711338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Hawks46c470$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.810940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks48c451.24$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.573,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Hawks47c382$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4625951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Hawks28c327$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Hawks45c307.93$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3612745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed 76ers55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks48c250.58$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.653,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks40c220$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.885,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b8…0d55backed 76ers53c208.92$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers52c203.5$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed 76ers55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Hawks47c198$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.941,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d8…b596backed 76ers53c189.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed 76ers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010647.2%50 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed 76ers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007841%32 W · 46 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Hawks50c178.87$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers58c147.86$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.753,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed 76ers58c123.01$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccf…9ea3backed Hawks25c119.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.991850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed 76ers54c111.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks46c108.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.692,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Hawks46c108.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Hawks47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3853453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Hawks46c100.4$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.221650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked 76ers54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547754.5%42 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Hawks46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5474547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Hawks47c96.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.425651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed 76ers54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaec…968cbacked 76ers55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked 76ers52c87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2448451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Hawks45c67.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0e…27c3backed 76ers51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e2…4f86backed 76ers50c56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hawks43c51.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.661,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed 76ers47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.522456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 76ers49c45.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1865630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed 76ers54c41.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed 76ers54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.66241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed 76ers52c36.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1648852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed 76ers54c34.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8992750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed 76ers53c34.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5862844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Hawks46c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8216852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e3…13d4backed 76ers53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-78.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c01…0436backed Hawks48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked 76ers55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4eb…05b5backed 76ers54c20.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.165054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed 76ers51c19.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked 76ers54c19.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.749855.1%54 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed 76ers54c18.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.