TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,421 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked 76ers44c54,945$24,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,175.7328649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers45c45,000$20,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,274.941,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Hawks56c22,668$12,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,973.856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hawks55c21,150$11,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,517.4192753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed 76ers46c20,000$9,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,191.561,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks56c15,168$8,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,733.052,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Hawks54c15,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,90011252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks55c14,780$8,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,637.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Hawks55c12,500$6,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5757759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed 76ers45c11,684$5,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,257.8574748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Hawks54c10,608$5,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,879.6810459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hawks56c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.5736549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks55c6,669$3,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.574,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks52c5,581$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hawks52c4,703$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.0485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers51c4,292$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.824,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers45c4,237$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.814,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers45c3,395$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.456,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers45c3,306$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Hawks55c3,305$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.458953.9%48 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Hawks54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed 76ers44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9821446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fd…40ebbacked Hawks56c2,402$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.011136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Hawks56c2,042$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.8451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers45c2,010$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.223,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Hawks55c1,838$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.152842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86bb…54ebbacked 76ers45c1,800$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8101361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers48c1,756$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.112,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked 76ers46c1,628$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.0964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d4…b415backed Hawks55c1,381$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.451656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Hawks36c1,196$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.999443.6%41 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed 76ers48c1,117$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.311,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked 76ers46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Hawks55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4506352.4%33 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks49c976.85$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.195,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked 76ers41c948.11$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.2926336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked 76ers45c816.58$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.4695651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Hawks55c807.27$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.2726745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked 76ers58c714.08$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7827052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Hawks56c659$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks52c647.79$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.483,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked 76ers49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks55c527$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.261,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed 76ers45c511$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.959051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked 76ers46c448.5$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3140146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db4…91e2backed Hawks55c420$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Hawks50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20016148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers50c309.27$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.71,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Hawks56c300.4$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Hawks54c299.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13825559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed 76ers52c287.4$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Hawks56c274.06$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.791,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks55c247.47$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.362,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed 76ers45c232.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8176552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Hawks56c232.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1426048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Hawks60c218.17$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0991050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked 76ers46c201.96$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.940035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Hawks56c198$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1212642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed 76ers54c185.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1445452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80fa…88aabacked 76ers46c185$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Hawks55c182$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.94643.5%20 W · 26 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Hawks60c175.35$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1214557.2%83 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Hawks56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6658754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hawks37c136.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.341,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Hawks55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3618256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…c566backed 76ers46c131$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.26425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hawks42c124.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Hawks52c115.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6830151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed 76ers46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503727%10 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers53c101.53$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.33,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Hawks52c100.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4825655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hawks46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5480737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Hawks55c99.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9815156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Hawks55c99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.551,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Hawks54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5997049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Hawks56c91.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0710955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 76ers30c90.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2665630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x50b6…0da7backed 76ers74c88$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.129753.6%52 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcba…0953backed Hawks55c84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda1c…5527backed 76ers46c82.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.733339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed 76ers46c80.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.141,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks50c79.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.853,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Hawks55c79.35$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7736045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Hawks55c71.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4320949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed 76ers43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2318261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Hawks47c69.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.445251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Hawks46c69.82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.561,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Hawks52c69.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2365950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…176bbacked 76ers45c67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.157048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Hawks58c59.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Hawks54c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2232148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hawks59c56.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Hawks54c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7695260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Hawks55c53.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3520847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed 76ers48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9653839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Hawks56c51.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.791643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x665c…ee58backed Hawks55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Hawks56c49.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.627159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Hawks46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9211058.2%64 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.