TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$504,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,699 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x23b6…3eeebacked Over48c22,982$11,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,950.643046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8d…388cbacked Over48c10,684$5,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,555.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6f…8f0dbacked Over48c10,642$5,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,533.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2016…93f5backed Over48c10,480$5,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,449.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe371…723bbacked Over48c10,084$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,243.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x403c…379dbacked Under52c9,712$5,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,050.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33b…cf3cbacked Under52c9,604$4,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,994.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3fd…aaf7backed Over48c9,396$4,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,885.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe80b…6581backed Under52c9,293$4,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21fc…374dbacked Over48c9,283$4,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,827.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x762d…807dbacked Over48c9,246$4,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,807.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef7…03f3backed Under52c9,181$4,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,774.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8604…d458backed Under52c9,084$4,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,723.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6867…c8a6backed Under52c9,065$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,713.830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa96f…f61cbacked Under52c9,008$4,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,684.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d5…5b7dbacked Under52c8,935$4,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,646.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8407…8279backed Under52c8,877$4,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,616.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628f…e24ebacked Under52c8,838$4,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,595.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x413e…5c22backed Over48c8,792$4,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,571.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x539b…0b0dbacked Over48c8,662$4,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,504.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0f…12e5backed Over48c8,650$4,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,498366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf058…e17fbacked Over48c8,620$4,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,482.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b4d…5905backed Under52c8,615$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc001…2a94backed Under52c8,520$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,430.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cb…6bb8backed Over48c8,404$4,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,370.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36a3…d64abacked Under52c8,127$4,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,226.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507c…a80abacked Under52c8,127$4,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,226.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…f9e0backed Under52c7,804$4,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,058.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a2…ddcebacked Under52c7,750$4,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,03010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6409…5200backed Under52c7,104$3,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,694.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dba…7013backed Over48c7,054$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,668.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ae…b237backed Under52c6,442$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d08…f2dabacked Over48c5,400$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03a…fa76backed Over48c4,929$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf2f…6600backed Over48c4,656$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c4,441$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.432,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb3…f82ebacked Over48c4,288$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bae…2f4fbacked Under52c4,279$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6c…2500backed Over48c4,242$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4072…4ec0backed Under52c4,227$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6873…8f68backed Over48c4,154$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c3,800$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9202,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e7…92e2backed Over48c3,744$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a8b…16d6backed Over48c3,475$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98d5…09bebacked Under52c3,402$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e2…6105backed Under52c3,253$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc607…7a9cbacked Over48c2,706$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb8…f8e5backed Over48c2,682$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d3…be51backed Over48c2,671$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.921070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x282e…0799backed Over48c2,640$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee92…a682backed Over48c2,639$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f49…c7eebacked Over48c2,623$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.966100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa889…a833backed Over48c2,623$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7576…cb8abacked Over48c2,621$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.92875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34ae…2a54backed Over48c2,615$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2f…e627backed Over48c2,588$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf615…cdf0backed Over48c2,542$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf0…8d4abacked Over48c2,537$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…bec5backed Over48c2,520$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb445…e6dabacked Over48c2,515$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa036…f039backed Over48c2,506$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.12333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de3…5209backed Under52c2,498$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadbf…ff7cbacked Over48c2,485$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b9…25f3backed Over48c2,478$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5012…349abacked Under52c2,469$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1428…7b14backed Under52c2,464$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29ec…5353backed Over48c2,464$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b8…d796backed Over48c2,463$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+68.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f3f…84c2backed Over48c2,457$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.644100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa08…0408backed Over48c2,451$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…9b83backed Over48c2,451$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x73de…075cbacked Under52c2,449$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dd…f213backed Over48c2,447$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd5…05b9backed Over48c2,442$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…2c2abacked Over48c2,436$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff82…ce75backed Under52c2,436$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4561…7112backed Under52c2,436$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0054…7481backed Over48c2,431$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.126100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xafff…49c8backed Over48c2,428$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e6a…c3ecbacked Over48c2,424$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e41…bb35backed Over48c2,418$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.36650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb948…15b9backed Over48c2,407$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7007…bcb0backed Over48c2,405$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e69…96d7backed Under52c2,402$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1394…c83abacked Over48c2,398$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9528…4c16backed Over48c2,394$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aee…cd72backed Over48c2,394$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.88785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+76.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38a7…dd0bbacked Over48c2,393$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd620…12c5backed Over48c2,374$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6738…e731backed Over48c2,374$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4062…655ebacked Over48c2,372$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9912…94b1backed Over48c2,369$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a0…eff5backed Over48c2,368$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c6…bef3backed Over48c2,366$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.32683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+72.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf49a…9af2backed Over48c2,366$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0381…66babacked Over48c2,362$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcebf…d903backed Over48c2,361$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6489…5460backed Over48c2,360$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f6…91b1backed Under52c2,359$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5226…d193backed Under52c2,350$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.