TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Cowboys, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$609,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$621,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,436 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Giants55c480,754$265,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214,937.2211145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Cowboys45c375,953$168,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168,066.3586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Cowboys45c98,554$44,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,687.0647348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Giants54c40,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,399.9916051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Cowboys45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0006451.6%33 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Cowboys45c16,117$7,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,283.582626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-48%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Giants54c15,000$8,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,95024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Giants54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Cowboys49c10,000$4,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,898.867051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cowboys45c6,387$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.159447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cowboys46c5,853$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.111,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Giants54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cowboys46c4,360$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.9177052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Giants54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8405352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Cowboys45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80012944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Cowboys45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35015252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cowboys45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Giants55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3506759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Cowboys46c2,914$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.4414641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Cowboys45c2,850$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Giants54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.781225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-49.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Giants51c2,674$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.4975852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Giants54c2,610$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.592437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Giants54c2,200$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01236246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Cowboys48c2,090$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.27346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Cowboys47c2,021$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.938164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Cowboys44c1,981$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.734955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Cowboys46c1,850$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8513357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Cowboys47c1,521$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.613953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Giants55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6752250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Cowboys45c1,495$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.752532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cowboys38c1,283$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7631543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Giants56c1,175$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants53c1,153$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.9983147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Cowboys47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Giants55c1,011$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.911855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a2…c2c2backed Giants59c978.32$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaafa…dd84backed Cowboys45c962.42$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4da6…59fabacked Cowboys47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003650%18 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Giants52c840.83$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.610156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cowboys45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36023647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Giants55c749.09$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.096738.8%26 W · 41 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Giants52c644.23$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.235949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Cowboys47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2827533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Cowboys44c577.36$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.044143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Cowboys46c517.35$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.981323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cowboys46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23026648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Giants52c458.1$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.8913756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Giants80c455.51$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2250242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Cowboys46c436.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017547.4%83 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Cowboys46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017548%84 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Giants53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.366755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Cowboys45c348.44$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.820354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e0d…081bbacked Giants52c342.33$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.862536%9 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Cowboys47c340.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Cowboys39c328.64$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8829439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Cowboys46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505947.5%28 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Giants52c313$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2431450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Cowboys48c310.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Giants53c279.04$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1511452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Giants56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8616451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e0…719cbacked Cowboys37c265.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-72.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba4…d0cfbacked Giants53c235$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Cowboys45c222.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.015349.1%26 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Cowboys48c218.4$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.839744.3%43 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1306…edf8backed Cowboys46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b17…d5a3backed Cowboys47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Giants52c208.31$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9919459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Cowboys45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Cowboys42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Giants53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6822349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Giants55c185$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Giants55c182.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.277052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Giants52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.416360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Giants56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.577034.3%24 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed Giants56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Giants56c176.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.542352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Cowboys48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Cowboys46c154$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8426649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cowboys48c153.56$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7118745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Giants52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7259453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Cowboys45c146.67$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Cowboys47c115$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0526857.1%153 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Cowboys45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012843%55 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ad8…a395backed Cowboys46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Giants57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.269641.7%40 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Cowboys51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517745.5%35 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Cowboys46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Giants51c99.81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9165048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1540…04e9backed Cowboys45c95.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.82853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…5961backed Giants53c94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b2…17dcbacked Giants54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99af…fedcbacked Giants56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab52…5487backed Cowboys47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Giants56c85.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.443847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cowboys42c78.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9973651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cowboys47c77.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3834247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Giants52c76.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9253253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Giants56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4311054.5%60 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf1…7fc8backed Cowboys46c64.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.683243.8%14 W · 18 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.