NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaffeb29767359a757c3e1fafe2186bb04bc9fa5808378c2afb55779d5629b553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 3,747$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.03 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 57c | 3,676$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.68 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 3,123$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.64 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 43c | 1,921$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.03 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 1,302$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.91 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 923.26$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 43c | 850.8$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.84 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 45c | 627$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.15 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 45c | 611.11$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 39c | 596.35$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.71 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 192$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 52c | 139.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 52c | 86.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 44c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 46c | 75.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Over | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 42.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 43c | 37.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…5b1fbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 51.5this page
- Cowboys vs. GiantsGiants won
- Cowboys vs. Giants: 1H MoneylineGiants won
- Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 49.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 50.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 52.5Under won
- Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)Giants won
- Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Giants won
- Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)Giants won
- Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.