NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 50.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc600641e112fac0f0691f48120462ff5be321adc1cc8613bec22fc0afaabb0ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 51c | 6,849$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.05 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 3,264$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.4 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Over | 49c | 2,980$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.59 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 2,003$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.59 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,764$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.93 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 1,351$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.85 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 55c | 450$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 45c | 426$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Under | 55c | 254.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 45c | 193.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 51c | 30.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Under | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 50.5this page
- Cowboys vs. GiantsGiants won
- Cowboys vs. Giants: 1H MoneylineGiants won
- Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 49.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 51.5Under won
- Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 52.5Under won
- Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)Giants won
- Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Giants won
- Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)Giants won
- Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.