Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Petra Marcinko vs Alexandra Eala
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf256b4dbee8c9123bd94198b81351f41a72e46da7417a038dd37a4e95d76a434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ealaof Marcinko, Eala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Marcinko | 0c | 6,027$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marcinko | 14c | 4,692$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Marcinko | 51c | 2,002$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Marcinko | 48c | 1,750$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.99 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eala | 66c | 1,732$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.41 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Marcinko | 4c | 1,355$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Marcinko | 42c | 1,273$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.78 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Marcinko | 14c | 914.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Eala | 61c | 902.65$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.65 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Marcinko | 50c | 849.5$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.67 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marcinko | 12c | 842.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Marcinko | 8c | 834.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Eala | 61c | 828.33$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.32 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Marcinko | 20c | 583.16$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Eala | 53c | 488.88$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.41 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Marcinko | 44c | 482.68$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.16 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marcinko | 45c | 441.42$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Eala | 48c | 419.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.54 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked Eala | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Eala | 55c | 355.26$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.24 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Eala | 61c | 327.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Eala | 54c | 299.75$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marcinko | 15c | 289.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Marcinko | 39c | 270.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Eala | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Eala | 59c | 239.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Eala | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Marcinko | 7c | 214$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Marcinko | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Eala | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Eala | 17c | 169.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Eala | 61c | 164.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…081bbacked Eala | 61c | 164.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marcinko | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Eala | 58c | 147.52$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Eala | 54c | 144.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Eala | 57c | 141.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Eala | 54c | 125$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Marcinko | 28c | 119.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Eala | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Eala | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Marcinko | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked Marcinko | 43c | 93.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Eala | 50c | 93.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Eala | 61c | 84.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Eala | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Eala | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Eala | 17c | 72.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Marcinko | 15c | 70.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Marcinko | 39c | 69.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…0eefbacked Eala | 61c | 65.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Marcinko | 34c | 60.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Marcinko | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Eala | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa523…d782backed Eala | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…f431backed Marcinko | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marcinko | 44c | 45.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eala | 58c | 43.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Eala | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Eala | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eala | 77c | 40.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Marcinko | 49c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Eala | 61c | 32.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Eala | 52c | 31.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Eala | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Marcinko | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…29d8backed Eala | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Eala | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Eala | 79c | 22.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Eala | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Eala | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Eala | 64c | 16.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Petra Marcinko vs Alexandra Ealathis page
- Marcinko vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Marcinko vs. Eala: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Marcinko vs. Eala: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Marcinko vs. Eala: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Marcinko vs. Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Marcinko vs EalaEala won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.