Tennis · resolved market
Marcinko vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed568568bfbe3744c91ff9bc4643e8697fe0735e708bde27650fb0aad64bed2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9061…9510backed Over | 49c | 154$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 49c | 153$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Over | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 49c | 88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Under | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Under | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Under | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Under | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marcinko vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5this page
- ASB Classic: Petra Marcinko vs Alexandra EalaEala won
- Marcinko vs. Eala: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Marcinko vs. Eala: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Marcinko vs. Eala: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Marcinko vs. Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Marcinko vs EalaEala won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.