Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52a53f7b0bd2a8e0470a649d49e731e5d2c053d4357c9d77399331c4edc2c888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Michigan State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Michigan Wolverines | 67c | 72,096$48,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,041.6 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 58c | 28,362$16,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,042.86 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Michigan State Spartans | 33c | 15,220$5,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,022.61 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 33c | 12,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Michigan State Spartans | 42c | 11,635$4,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,886.68 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Michigan State Spartans | 33c | 11,089$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.06 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michigan State Spartans | 33c | 10,914$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.15 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…d637backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 10,700$5,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,922 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…2890backed Michigan State Spartans | 46c | 10,662$4,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,904.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Michigan State Spartans | 33c | 10,435$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Michigan State Spartans | 43c | 10,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.99 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Michigan State Spartans | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Michigan State Spartans | 43c | 8,010$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.61 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 7,710$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.89 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 7,397$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.13 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michigan State Spartans | 43c | 6,849$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Michigan State Spartans | 42c | 6,186$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.02 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Michigan State Spartans | 46c | 5,256$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michigan State Spartans | 12c | 5,174$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.63 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 33c | 5,167$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.98 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Michigan Wolverines | 56c | 4,989$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.21 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 4,904$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.54 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b3…8a22backed Michigan State Spartans | 24c | 4,875$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 4,564$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.84 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 4,062$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.9 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Michigan State Spartans | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan State Spartans | 36c | 3,975$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Michigan Wolverines | 71c | 3,744$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.18 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 3,672$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.76 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 3,508$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.58 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Michigan State Spartans | 44c | 3,336$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.49 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 3,123$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.58 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Michigan State Spartans | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 2,487$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.99 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 46c | 1,944$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.11 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Michigan Wolverines | 58c | 1,907$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.55 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 1,901$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.25 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…53e6backed Michigan Wolverines | 58c | 1,900$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.84 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Michigan State Spartans | 35c | 1,759$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.29 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 1,653$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.39 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 34c | 1,649$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.68 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 1,481$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.32 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 1,476$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.24 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan State Spartans | 35c | 1,401$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.53 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Michigan State Spartans | 47c | 1,400$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.98 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 1,227$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.26 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Michigan State Spartans | 30c | 1,218$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Michigan State Spartans | 27c | 1,114$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.36 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Michigan Wolverines | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michigan State Spartans | 33c | 1,022$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 16c | 1,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.47 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Michigan Wolverines | 69c | 999.89$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.95 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Michigan State Spartans | 23c | 974.77$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.13 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michigan State Spartans | 30c | 879$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.04 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Michigan State Spartans | 34c | 858.04$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 832$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 24c | 790$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.15 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 737.23$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.75 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 707.28$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.42 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Michigan State Spartans | 30c | 676.78$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.13 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 625.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 600.56$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.56 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 575$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 570$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 47c | 536.3$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Michigan Wolverines | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 46c | 500$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.75 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Michigan State Spartans | 45c | 485.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.56 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…8d2dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 54c | 454.31$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 39c | 441.9$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Michigan State Spartans | 47c | 425.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Michigan State Spartans | 40c | 423.23$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.74 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 416.36$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.36 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…4d9abacked Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 415.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Michigan State Spartans | 45c | 413$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Michigan State Spartans | 47c | 405.12$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Michigan Wolverines | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b1…6cfabacked Michigan State Spartans | 34c | 400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Michigan Wolverines | 59c | 394.83$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Michigan State Spartans | 44c | 377.27$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Michigan State Spartans | 33c | 350$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Michigan State Spartans | 33c | 339.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…081bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 44c | 337.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Michigan State Spartans | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Michigan State Spartans | 27c | 333.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Michigan State Spartans | 46c | 331.09$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 47c | 314$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…e753backed Michigan State Spartans | 31c | 311.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c6…5051backed Michigan State Spartans | 38c | 301.72$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Michigan State Spartans | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartansthis page
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 145.5Over won
- Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.