TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$346,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,999 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f09…4632backed Yes64c52,500$33,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,783.687060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No35c35,620$12,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,065.959857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No25c32,136$8,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,098.724949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes65c30,000$19,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,437.2910543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No37c26,520$9,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,776.678241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c25,786$7,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,725.11,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No34c25,310$8,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,604.4115442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes65c22,181$14,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,382.5338043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No15c13,573$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,602.935145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No35c8,976$3,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,834.37146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes66c8,821$5,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,821.752045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No38c8,411$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,241.3519028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34aa…3ae7backed No41c6,559$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7e…c12fbacked Yes59c6,206$3,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,661.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No35c5,120$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.5839746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2504744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5264…8352backed Yes63c4,158$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes77c3,897$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.3935860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No37c3,836$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.712445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No36c3,721$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.4738343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes66c3,278$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.3558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes15c3,185$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.7320462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes51c3,002$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.7938935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No16c3,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,51023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No36c2,883$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.5436851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes62c2,419$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ec7…f874backed Yes63c2,273$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.692334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+47.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes61c2,187$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.3130657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No36c2,094$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.2937544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a30…b575backed No39c1,886$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes61c1,848$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.679159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed No39c1,710$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes61c1,710$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed No37c1,600$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0102429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c1,562$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.411,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Yes77c1,500$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+84.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No34c1,470$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.1813151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes58c1,300$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.999547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes66c1,212$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes61c1,200$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.063333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x396e…b9c9backed Yes65c1,109$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a0…5a51backed No37c1,078$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+154%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No38c1,025$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.5938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No35c985$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.259643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed Yes63c814.24$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.97825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52025450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked No37c799.97$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.983432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No34c777$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.8211950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…2ccdbacked Yes66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No37c757$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.9124047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes69c719.07$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.7520343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc64a…74c0backed Yes73c699.69$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.281637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0eb…4aafbacked No38c660$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes66c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked No36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.561050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No41c527.78$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9439842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes68c503$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.294045%18 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked No20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3253740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed No29c500$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3564637%17 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No39c499.98$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.9911245.5%51 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No34c499.97$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9819344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed No17c490$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.72343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No35c464$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.620947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Yes65c424.95$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752030%6 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No37c405.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4111135.1%39 W · 72 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes17c403$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.595829.3%17 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+158%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2566747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No36c383.22$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.898027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes66c378.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505046%23 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No37c378.65$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6516853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes59c376.27$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222540%10 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No34c370.6$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.617853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No30c359.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2316047.5%76 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes66c354.55$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23413139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes44c349.29$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9621745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No42c340$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.38959.6%53 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes61c309.84$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes60c303.33$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1829142.9%39 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No40c299.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9918250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes14c284.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.838840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No36c280$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.222547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No28c258.75$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.638427.4%23 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed No40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15020133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes62c243.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes64c232.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…3b53backed No36c222.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No17c217.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.657136.6%26 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1288336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed No41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181275%9 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+81.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1227742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307652.6%40 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No35c199.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9913644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.