Champions League · resolved market
Will Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16495f0f3e2fb15638ca9de5fd10cc32aa4ea0566191fce4fec058c80f1fa252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 77c | 6,333$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.59 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 6,028$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,382.28 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 12c | 5,221$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.92 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 18c | 2,782$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.31 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 15c | 2,639$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.31 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 18c | 1,200$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.51 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 923.61$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.02 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 13c | 850$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 14c | 814.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 22c | 660$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.8 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 78c | 591.42$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.43 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 22c | 454.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.25 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 14c | 420.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.3 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 77c | 400$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 73c | 362.96$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc69…34cabacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 25c | 312.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 46c | 276.53$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 78c | 260.01$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -9.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 22c | 229.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.43 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 22c | 207.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…01b0backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…d41fbacked Yes | 16c | 158.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 24c | 144.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 22c | 140$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Yes | 15c | 138.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38b…a04dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yes | 15c | 97.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…3577backed Yes | 20c | 97.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 77c | 66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde22…292abacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 76c | 60.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 80c | 56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed Yes | 75c | 55.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 77c | 19.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…dd6bbacked No | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 80c | 15.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?No won
- Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.