NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Texans: O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90ceeeb2ad60604b0363a6ef6c495c1ca6f58e31c83e41120c8633be5cbee689
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 47c | 39,990$18,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,194.48 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 47c | 37,735$17,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,999.55 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 30,045$15,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,906.62 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 29,164$15,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,458.56 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 49c | 23,029$11,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,814.41 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 53c | 22,569$11,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,930.97 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Over | 50c | 14,968$7,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,484 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 14,000$7,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,089.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Over | 53c | 7,448$3,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,947.25 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 6,342$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.41 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 51c | 5,618$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.65 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 52c | 5,149$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.48 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Under | 50c | 3,995$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 46c | 3,165$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.1 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 2,943$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.36 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 49c | 2,520$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.21 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.77 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Under | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 46c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Under | 52c | 1,951$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.51 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,841$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.21 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 1,698$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.08 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Over | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 53c | 1,334$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.97 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Over | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 53c | 950$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 49c | 672.78$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.12 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Over | 53c | 630.09$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.95 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Over | 55c | 618.18$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Over | 51c | 586.27$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 585.7$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.77 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 565.08$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.98 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 53c | 512$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.86 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 472.56$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.01 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb5…7a65backed Under | 49c | 409$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…6b46backed Over | 50c | 384$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Over | 53c | 382.96$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.97 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 48c | 357$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 249$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…5376backed Over | 52c | 239$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8af…8321backed Under | 49c | 226$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…c657backed Under | 49c | 216$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…1636backed Under | 49c | 212.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…f0e6backed Over | 51c | 201$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…a55abacked Under | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…9b52backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…9db1backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 50c | 196$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…97fbbacked Over | 52c | 196$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 53c | 195$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…3f18backed Over | 51c | 194$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 184.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8148…5f30backed Over | 51c | 171$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3641…2864backed Over | 52c | 170$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…4fc6backed Under | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Over | 55c | 163.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Under | 16c | 160$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 39c | 159.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…447ebacked Under | 61c | 159.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9434…07efbacked Over | 52c | 159$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 52c | 156.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe354…8a38backed Under | 50c | 156$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ca…fa25backed Under | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 54c | 118.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…304bbacked Over | 51c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Over | 52c | 96.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…de17backed Over | 52c | 87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3f…4f9cbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 16c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Under | 49c | 67.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Over | 48c | 61.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Texans: O/U 43.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-3.5)Texans won
- Bills vs. TexansTexans won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H O/U 21.5Over won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H O/U 22.5Over won
- Bills vs. Texans: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-4.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-5.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-6.5)Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.