Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x442a366726b95b8fe2135efdcf89aca7a2b53d26cab37b85fedaac0ff4e7fcee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 10,105$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 79c | 5,620$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.28 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 73c | 4,958$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 21c | 4,524$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.03 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 26c | 3,743$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.92 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 79c | 3,709$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.87 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Over | 80c | 2,250$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 1,070$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.3 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 79c | 886.08$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.08 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 631.96$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 23c | 404.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 403.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 20c | 390.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…c5b7backed Over | 80c | 312.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Over | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Over | 80c | 298.81$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Under | 22c | 296.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…97b3backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce21…0b2abacked Over | 79c | 226.94$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 66c | 207.58$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…adfbbacked Over | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 78c | 185$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 40c | 175.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 80c | 157.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked Over | 79c | 153.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 75cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…4ddebacked Over | 78c | 140.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d56…71dabacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…f54fbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over | 74c | 120.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 80c | 98.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 30c | 95.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 73c | 86.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 69c | 86.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Over | 74c | 80.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d1…a7ffbacked Over | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 52c | 77.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 67c | 71.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…475cbacked Over | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 72c | 69.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 80c | 69.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 58c | 68.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 27c | 55.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Under | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 77c | 52.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 23c | 46.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 74c | 43.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ae…a52abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 78c | 38.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…df27backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…7e15backed Over | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58e…d781backed Over | 79c | 26.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…c578backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac8…12edbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…ad9ebacked Over | 80c | 23.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c64…ee73backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9272…a501backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 62c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…e2c8backed Over | 79c | 18.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.