Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3136b0d1feb98364dd8e45770a3f005b890fb6498ccbefe753934a976c0f1f0

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $149,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $154,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,595 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under	44c	42,840$18,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,728.35	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	46c	21,165$9,753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,412.17	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under	72c	13,112$9,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,495.94	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	39c	11,375$4,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,942.99	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Over	57c	9,035$5,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,885	189	50.3%95 W · 94 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under	56c	8,974$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	89	62.9%56 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	47c	8,543$3,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,555.06	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	56c	8,449$4,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,724.78	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Under	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over	57c	4,787$2,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,042.95	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Under	42c	3,953$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,660.44	178	37.6%67 W · 111 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Over	56c	3,571$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,571.43	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	56c	2,976$1,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,323.97	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under	43c	2,326$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	44c	2,161$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.6	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	49c	2,061$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,042.15	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over	57c	2,000$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860	138	37%51 W · 87 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Under	46c	1,638$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.27	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under	45c	1,310$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.5	97	63.9%62 W · 35 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb461…d1dabacked Over	50c	1,290$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	59cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34ba…d291backed Over	57c	1,160$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.8	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	65cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over	53c	1,152$613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.76	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	58c	1,034$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.48	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under	44c	999.98$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.99	85	31.8%27 W · 58 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Over	56c	999.86$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.94	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Over	42c	930$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.7	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Over	56c	880$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.2	49	75.5%37 W · 12 L	+8.3wins	+0.17per pick	59cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Under	55c	876.36$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2f…2fdcbacked Under	45c	868.7$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under	43c	840.11$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.25	219	65.3%143 W · 76 L	+20.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under	43c	833$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	44c	681.99$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.08	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	44c	623$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.27	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over	54c	592.58$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.59	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over	25c	500$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under	43c	500$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b2…80d5backed Over	57c	499.91$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over	71c	499.08$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.67	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Under	37c	465.27$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.76	420	43.8%184 W · 236 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Under	44c	454.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under	47c	444.68$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.19	193	57.5%111 W · 82 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2058…cf57backed Under	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	57c	412.35$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.31	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	43c	402.68$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.94	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under	46c	399.99$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	56c	392.86$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.86	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	49c	384.53$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.42	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over	30c	372.14$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.94	241	58.1%140 W · 101 L	+34.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Over	44c	357.8$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.37	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	64cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over	56c	355.36$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.36	134	50.7%68 W · 66 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over	56c	354.01$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.01	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Over	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-9.7wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under	47c	331.37$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.37	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	56c	321.43$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.43	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over	56c	312.5$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.5	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Over	54c	310.87$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over	63c	308$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.96	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3a9…df50backed Under	44c	299.96$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under	45c	297.8$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.01	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	60c	274.18$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.49	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…2da5backed Over	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.2	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfcf…a59cbacked Under	44c	199.99$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Over	65c	196.73$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.22	71	38%27 W · 44 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x042a…7f4cbacked Over	56c	192.93$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.89	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4675…d7d0backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9da…81d7backed Over	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6dd…3139backed Over	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	66c	176.82$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.17	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaae4…6ec2backed Over	41c	176.71$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.26	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over	56c	173.23$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.22	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-7.4wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under	48c	162.44$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.97	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over	54c	161.95$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.71	104	33.7%35 W · 69 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2806…6de8backed Over	57c	156.16$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.15	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over	23c	152.17$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.17	181	24.9%45 W · 136 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	44c	152$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.88	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over	57c	150.84$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.86	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under	46c	150$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	255	53.7%137 W · 118 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over	54c	149.5$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.77	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over	52c	137$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.76	62	69.4%43 W · 19 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Over	69c	135$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Under	57c	131.58$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	38	68.4%26 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a44…6db6backed Under	46c	127.8$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.65	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b0…3ec9backed Under	79c	126.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Under	40c	125.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Under	44c	122.73$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under	43c	120$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.6	305	54.8%167 W · 138 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	36c	119.2$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.84	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Over	43c	116$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed1…6090backed Over	53c	113.21$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.21	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over	55c	113$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.85	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over	42c	101$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.58	101	24.8%25 W · 76 L	-12.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df8…475cbacked Over	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.20per pick	57cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07b3…20fbbacked Over	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Over	52c	96.16$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.16	118	39%46 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a11…4b2abacked Over	57c	92.95$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.97	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5this page
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event