TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$297,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$331,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked No78c45,068$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,068.334566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes27c22,221$5,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,998.73417.6%6 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes24c10,242$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes22c8,500$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8703348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes23c8,105$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.869631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes26c7,737$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes26c7,078$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.415933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9503154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No73c4,125$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.671233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c3,994$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.452,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c0…940dbacked Yes21c3,810$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes22c3,138$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.0693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69022551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes22c2,443$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.433357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Yes27c2,230$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes26c2,203$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.6917543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes19c2,113$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.051,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c2,050$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53313517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No74c1,850$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75d…2d34backed Yes13c1,500$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1861…47eebacked Yes20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c1,328$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.2927737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes61c1,200$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.5722373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.843016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No75c1,108$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.958463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506323.8%15 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked Yes6c989.34$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3670%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes14c944.87$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6959240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes15c913.59$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8511667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes25c909.73$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0812923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes24c894.58$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.9313040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes29c842$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes2c799.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No53c768.16$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.6546742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes6c766$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.911827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No75c740.44$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.5745547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes3c700$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16120827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes23c692.68$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6322947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.68966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes23c658.29$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4112452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No74c635.14$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1414351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No55c617$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.654744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Yes19c586.93$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.693119.4%6 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfebd…5c09backed No77c584.42$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.422445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes28c567.76$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1586829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No80c547.65$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.85369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes22c545.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes24c480$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.23647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes27c475.29$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3320841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe733…0accbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Yes7c449.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5edf…b5f2backed Yes3c428.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Yes17c415.79$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Yes19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+48.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No74c399.99$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10214742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes27c370$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.94562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes22c367$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9828931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes24c356.15$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.94429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes16c350$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid+22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes8c315.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.397245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No77c313.51$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1524849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754776.6%36 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Yes6c293.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.637412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673476.5%26 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c74…b589backed No75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed No80c260$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No77c260$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.63154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77ff…4ddebacked No80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed46…1badbacked No75c234.13$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes26c220$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.213840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cee…41a8backed No80c212.95$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes26c200.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.23348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4821445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…e840backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes26c199.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No75c190.59$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.654242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No79c190$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.96266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes24c190$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.62138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes34c187.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.812630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No62c182.73$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1520033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d54…8d9abacked Yes26c176.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Yes24c156$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.442642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes25c152.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No76c151.32$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3213752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked No66c151.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.122653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No76c149.98$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3611666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No70c142$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5415045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No74c140$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.419652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2425…d39abacked Yes22c135.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No79c134.06$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5612565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed06…f663backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.