Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd5f9a062e06cd73783e4e778d59990797da0763f3745ff408521f114fb8ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeds Unitedof Manchester City, Leeds United
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Leeds United | 44c | 20,481$8,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,550.28 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Leeds United | 42c | 9,935$4,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,762.49 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Manchester City | 56c | 7,923$4,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,457.4 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Manchester City | 58c | 6,890$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.19 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Manchester City | 55c | 5,991$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.12 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Manchester City | 56c | 3,585$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.42 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Manchester City | 57c | 3,551$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.94 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Leeds United | 43c | 3,206$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.89 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Leeds United | 46c | 2,175$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.11 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Leeds United | 45c | 2,008$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.15 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Manchester City | 57c | 1,838$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.65 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Manchester City | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.44 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Manchester City | 59c | 1,617$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Leeds United | 44c | 1,513$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.39 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…cd09backed Manchester City | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Leeds United | 43c | 1,500$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.8 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Leeds United | 41c | 1,446$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.35 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Manchester City | 56c | 1,432$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Leeds United | 43c | 1,291$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.14 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Leeds United | 42c | 1,217$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.19 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Manchester City | 57c | 1,212$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.95 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Manchester City | 57c | 1,149$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Manchester City | 57c | 1,107$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Leeds United | 43c | 1,084$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.85 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…75b5backed Manchester City | 58c | 1,022$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Manchester City | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Manchester City | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…4ddebacked Manchester City | 57c | 972.32$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Manchester City | 58c | 933.87$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Manchester City | 57c | 912$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Leeds United | 41c | 864.55$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.51 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…bd57backed Manchester City | 58c | 860$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Leeds United | 45c | 799.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…4ed5backed Manchester City | 56c | 656.07$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…7395backed Manchester City | 56c | 636.12$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Leeds United | 44c | 601.72$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.12 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Leeds United | 42c | 601$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.58 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Leeds United | 43c | 599.12$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.5 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Manchester City | 57c | 588.54$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Manchester City | 55c | 543.64$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Leeds United | 45c | 543.16$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.74 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Manchester City | 57c | 503.76$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Leeds United | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed Manchester City | 59c | 463.19$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Manchester City | 56c | 444.64$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…c10abacked Manchester City | 57c | 412.81$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Leeds United | 44c | 399.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Manchester City | 56c | 359.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manchester City | 38c | 357.28$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…621cbacked Manchester City | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Leeds United | 44c | 340$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Manchester City | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Leeds United | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Manchester City | 56c | 292.96$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Manchester City | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Manchester City | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Leeds United | 44c | 256.38$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Manchester City | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…451dbacked Manchester City | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Manchester City | 58c | 215.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Manchester City | 55c | 199.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…d80abacked Leeds United | 46c | 198.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Manchester City | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Manchester City | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Manchester City | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Leeds United | 43c | 177.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1c…26fcbacked Manchester City | 56c | 177.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…06bcbacked Manchester City | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Manchester City | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Manchester City | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Leeds United | 42c | 154.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Manchester City | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…187dbacked Manchester City | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Manchester City | 59c | 144.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Manchester City | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Leeds United | 42c | 142$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Manchester City | 56c | 139.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Manchester City | 62c | 121.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Leeds United | 45c | 107.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City | 54c | 106.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Leeds United | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Manchester City | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Manchester City | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Leeds United | 44c | 102$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Leeds United | 44c | 102$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…5c6bbacked Manchester City | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…f7cdbacked Leeds United | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…74e4backed Manchester City | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Manchester City | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Leeds United | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Leeds United | 45c | 99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b1…f012backed Manchester City | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Manchester City | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Manchester City | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…9364backed Manchester City | 55c | 87.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Manchester City | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Manchester City | 57c | 85.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Leeds United | 44c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Leeds United | 45c | 83.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)this page
- Manchester City vs. Leeds United: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City vs. Leeds United: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City vs. Leeds United: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City vs. Leeds United: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.