Fifa International · resolved market
Will Uruguay win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37fd929d576ccb16ecffd5f1290b5f3eeedcbcd31e7b1354339f88cf0ee5d2ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,599.92 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…64debacked Yes | 0c | 24,737$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.99 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 9,046$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.37 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 58c | 1,279$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 983$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.83 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 790.96$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.98 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 79c | 688.14$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 34c | 580.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 58c | 538$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.13 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 56c | 480.22$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed No | 55c | 289.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 275.4$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cb64backed Yes | 42c | 199.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 45c | 199.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…9561backed Yes | 24c | 165.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a72…4693backed Yes | 44c | 153.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 151.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…1c4cbacked Yes | 9c | 125.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 61c | 111$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 44c | 108.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 64c | 100.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…4ddebacked Yes | 20c | 100.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked No | 55c | 90.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 54c | 82.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 44c | 68.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 61.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5200…9677backed Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228e…3296backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes | 57c | 35.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 56c | 28.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…3217backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…88aabacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd70…db6bbacked Yes | 44c | 22.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Uruguay win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will United States vs. Uruguay end in a draw?No won
- Will United States win on 2025-11-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.