La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2887af1d55df6623ba7d64930b80ed9eb97f82048ca69be34e9c38877d7a38e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elche CFof Real Madrid, Elche CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elche CF | 56c | 16,151$9,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,102.54 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Real Madrid | 46c | 6,779$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.19 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Real Madrid | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.89 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Real Madrid | 45c | 2,813$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elche CF | 54c | 2,789$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.09 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Elche CF | 54c | 2,714$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.44 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Elche CF | 53c | 2,114$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.86 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…134ebacked Real Madrid | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…b5a8backed Real Madrid | 26c | 1,090$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Real Madrid | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Real Madrid | 46c | 865.35$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.06 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…d8cabacked Real Madrid | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Elche CF | 55c | 698.22$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.68 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Elche CF | 54c | 674.66$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.2 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…2640backed Real Madrid | 45c | 604.35$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Real Madrid | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Real Madrid | 44c | 590$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.93 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Real Madrid | 43c | 533.89$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Elche CF | 57c | 527.22$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.7 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Real Madrid | 45c | 445.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Real Madrid | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Real Madrid | 47c | 330$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Real Madrid | 45c | 328.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Real Madrid | 49c | 270.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e99…108fbacked Real Madrid | 46c | 244.48$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Elche CF | 54c | 236.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…f8bbbacked Real Madrid | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Real Madrid | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Elche CF | 54c | 213$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Real Madrid | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Real Madrid | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Real Madrid | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Real Madrid | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Elche CF | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Real Madrid | 35c | 193.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Elche CF | 55c | 183$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Real Madrid | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…9a1abacked Real Madrid | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Real Madrid | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Real Madrid | 46c | 160.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Elche CF | 54c | 159$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Elche CF | 53c | 141$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Real Madrid | 45c | 140.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Elche CF | 54c | 136$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Real Madrid | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Real Madrid | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Elche CF | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Real Madrid | 47c | 126.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Real Madrid | 45c | 120.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Real Madrid | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…9104backed Elche CF | 52c | 113.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…91e7backed Real Madrid | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Real Madrid | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Elche CF | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Elche CF | 54c | 108$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Elche CF | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Elche CF | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Elche CF | 54c | 104.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…4ddebacked Real Madrid | 47c | 102.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Real Madrid | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Real Madrid | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Elche CF | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Real Madrid | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Real Madrid | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Elche CF | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Elche CF | 54c | 89.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…feb3backed Elche CF | 57c | 88.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Elche CF | 54c | 87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Elche CF | 54c | 87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Elche CF | 54c | 86.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Real Madrid | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Real Madrid | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Real Madrid | 45c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…3c7abacked Real Madrid | 48c | 72.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Elche CF | 57c | 72.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Elche CF | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Elche CF | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Elche CF | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Elche CF | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Elche CF | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Elche CF | 54c | 71.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Elche CF | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Real Madrid | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Elche CF | 54c | 65.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…9b88backed Real Madrid | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…9364backed Real Madrid | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Elche CF | 53c | 59.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Real Madrid | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Real Madrid | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Real Madrid | 47c | 57.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Real Madrid | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Elche CF | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Real Madrid | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Real Madrid | 39c | 51.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Real Madrid | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Elche CF | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Elche CF | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…102cbacked Elche CF | 55c | 46.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…fc73backed Real Madrid | 45c | 46.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…aa8fbacked Real Madrid | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.