La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01e0eafa1acd6ab06790d0ca9aee796856cb51a601d17a844c950dcc8186609a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 59c | 20,167$11,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,918.09 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 41c | 6,640$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,916.14 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 42c | 4,032$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 41c | 3,333$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.47 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Over | 41c | 3,333$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 58c | 2,900$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.84 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 2,652$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.62 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 42c | 2,089$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.36 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 57c | 999.93$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.96 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 38c | 851$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.49 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 42c | 641.23$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.91 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 59c | 357.23$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.81 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 43c | 252.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 56c | 231.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over | 44c | 169.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 42c | 154.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Under | 58c | 111$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…b971backed Under | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 41c | 87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…74fabacked Over | 43c | 61.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fee…39efbacked Over | 42c | 56.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a2…8cb0backed Over | 42c | 55.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe2…8f71backed Over | 44c | 51.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…5898backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…cb20backed Over | 42c | 46.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…ff77backed Over | 42c | 45.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 41c | 44.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1846…bad4backed Over | 44c | 43.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…571cbacked Over | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…d141backed Over | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…7a20backed Over | 44c | 42.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…9de1backed Under | 59c | 41.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…5102backed Under | 57c | 35.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…af5dbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +78%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd370…6adfbacked Over | 43c | 30.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…74c0backed Under | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 41c | 30.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 44c | 29.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x593f…61c6backed Over | 44c | 27.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…3b91backed Under | 57c | 25.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…3ec3backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…16b7backed Under | 57c | 18.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…a568backed Under | 57c | 18.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5this page
- Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.