La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb77a62d9a07f6909171f6fed9850130a8327ea60ef666da6caab481097f53a0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 9,792$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.44 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 56c | 7,998$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.18 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 58c | 1,362$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.37 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 1,130$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.3 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 72c | 1,029$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.86 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 66c | 605.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.81 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 55c | 454.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 13c | 418.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…b971backed Under | 15c | 340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 15c | 174.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…4d3fbacked Under | 44c | 151.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…d546backed Under | 45c | 137.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 16c | 126$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 36c | 103.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 52c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 66c | 88.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef3…2cd8backed Over | 61c | 32.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Under | 42c | 30.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…367fbacked Over | 65c | 22.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.