TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85df…9124backed No4c2,900$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109250%0 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes65c1,832$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.671,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes77c1,421$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.176,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c1,160$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.694,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes65c1,155$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.375448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35012746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf69…e8a8backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed No3c1,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No35c999.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.998531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No36c720.29$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.441,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752564%16 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes63c315.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.362060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e4…3342backed No36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.82025%5 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7712545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No36c213.41$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.789532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No36c209.26$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.161,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728040%32 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes62c190$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7833…3f14backed Yes65c172.17$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.295860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe7…fa80backed Yes64c156.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.42560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes79c156.19$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3740150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes65c156.18$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6619244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b34…633cbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Yes63c153$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.612035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes66c151.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7118239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.529043.3%39 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No37c147.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7237342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7f…0a55backed Yes64c140.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ff…4ddebacked Yes65c139.24$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.241650%8 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked No37c134$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.584757.4%27 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed No37c128$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.362657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked No36c124$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.644944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed No37c122$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.684341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked No37c121.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.993650%18 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3776…73c1backed Yes65c107.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.691241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb3…5affbacked No40c100.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.754355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked No37c99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.153333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed No36c96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.564751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked No36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked No37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.64445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed No36c78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.083850%19 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked No36c77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.727642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes63c77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.494257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb3…9161backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+107.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x045f…e343backed Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b99…bfb8backed No38c73.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e02…c5f2backed Yes64c64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Yes63c58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.461776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed No36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd323…64acbacked Yes65c53.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.912259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed Yes64c53$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x905d…ada9backed No38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c14…9d72backed No38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8396445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb79…85bebacked No34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-54.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Yes63c48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa7…f52fbacked Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.151070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed No36c46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.563366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed No36c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.22142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Yes64c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes64c44.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1822040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked No38c44.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2949…76bcbacked Yes64c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.841747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Yes64c43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No38c39.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0631648.7%154 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0613951.1%71 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa3…b1d8backed Yes65c38.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1055…b628backed Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b7…c02cbacked No37c37.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.031060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+49.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed No36c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.324148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Yes64c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed No37c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.324949%24 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Yes64c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Yes63c34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Yes63c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.581464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2394…9312backed Yes64c33.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.184151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.255549.1%27 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2511060.9%67 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked Yes64c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.161650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes63c30.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1121463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked No36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Yes64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.810552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Yes63c29.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0929751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Yes63c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.362860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Yes64c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Yes63c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.992770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed Yes63c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.991450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9430…97cebacked Yes63c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.621163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Yes63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc953…d729backed Yes63c22.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.221258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc157…bd5cbacked Yes63c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3add…e482backed Yes64c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.