Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x487dc1c95e7e0b065a7984c46f223b66329252639e20eda2c0aaa435b2c0ccd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Over | 68c | 66,666$45,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,353.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 53,430$17,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,087.52 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 8,732$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.23 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 30c | 6,424$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.15 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 32c | 5,211$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.29 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Over | 65c | 2,355$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.38 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Under | 25c | 1,566$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 64c | 1,555$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.42 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…d291backed Over | 66c | 1,505$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 34c | 1,465$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Over | 67c | 922$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.26 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 13c | 785$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Over | 65c | 765.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.36 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 64c | 482$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.52 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 64c | 462.97$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 66c | 416.01$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 35c | 409.88$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.46 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over | 64c | 345.6$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.65 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 80c | 305.07$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 34c | 251.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 65c | 170.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 35c | 160.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 35c | 158.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 37c | 157$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 66c | 156.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 65c | 154.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…b9f8backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…bfb8backed Under | 33c | 144.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Over | 66c | 143.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 20c | 141.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 35c | 131$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 78c | 124.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 33c | 123.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…e36cbacked Over | 64c | 109$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 66c | 103.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…7a1abacked Under | 31c | 101.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 66c | 88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…4255backed Over | 66c | 86.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 66c | 77.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Under | 35c | 76.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…b350backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099a…9db2backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…73c1backed Over | 66c | 74.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 34c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 35c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f21…dc40backed Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…29eabacked Over | 66c | 59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Under | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 69c | 51.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Over | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 65c | 40.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Over | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 32c | 39.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…e3d9backed Over | 66c | 38.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…3703backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…26edbacked Under | 34c | 35.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 34c | 32.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 65c | 32.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…d729backed Over | 63c | 31.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…4761backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 64c | 24.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.