TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,131 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9e6…025bbacked Over68c66,666$45,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,353.37650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c53,430$17,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,087.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c8,732$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.234,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under30c6,424$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.152,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under32c5,211$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.2940150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.39946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Over65c2,355$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.383348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Under25c1,566$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.7540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over64c1,555$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.4220054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ba…d291backed Over66c1,505$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under34c1,465$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.215952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Over67c922$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.263043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under13c785$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2620239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08be…5b1fbacked Over65c765.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.362060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19229427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over64c482$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.521,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over64c462.97$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6726651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over66c416.01$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.595754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under35c409.88$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4658445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over64c345.6$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.656747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over80c305.07$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.019532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Under35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under34c251.36$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.461,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Under33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6615245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Under11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22250%0 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6811448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under39c199.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over65c170.77$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7749544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under35c160.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1710956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under35c158.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1825949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under37c157$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.093751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3e…0b87backed Over66c156.79$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over65c154.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.548047.5%38 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0b…b9f8backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854870.8%34 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.859958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd323…64acbacked Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5212753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5127752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b99…bfb8backed Under33c144.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Over66c143.94$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.942040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Under20c141.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under35c131$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.852744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over78c124.92$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4251542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under33c123.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8920425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1a…e36cbacked Over64c109$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8393…253cbacked Over66c103.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.034850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf18…7a1abacked Under31c101.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3513656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Under34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411420.2%23 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Under34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343129%9 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over66c88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.921942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47d3…4255backed Over66c86.36$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.362454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over61c82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.981,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over66c77.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2717745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Under35c76.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9240046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.923345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0cb6…b350backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.922842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7613149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x099a…9db2backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+47.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3776…73c1backed Over66c74.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.241241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under34c74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1642048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Under36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under35c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.84654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under35c63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.054341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f21…dc40backed Over65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5414252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5455955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcd…29eabacked Over66c59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Under36c58.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over69c51.61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1613841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x042e…f947backed Over61c49.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed Over65c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.751154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Over65c40.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.269050%45 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.812159.5%72 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf189…4c6bbacked Over76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under32c39.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.531,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433a…e3d9backed Over66c38.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.016566.2%43 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8828654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e2…3703backed Over66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under35c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.954949%24 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under35c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.954440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fa…26edbacked Under34c35.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under34c32.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Over65c32.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2210154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc953…d729backed Over63c31.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.611258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb75…4761backed Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2643…28c2backed Under37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Under36c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0841040.5%166 W · 244 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Over65c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over65c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.451457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over63c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over64c24.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7815966.7%106 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Over65c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.051573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.