Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21aa042be2f2b6b60f745615cb33aabf56c7cd9b93e5f2497cbfa92b53651ab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $550,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $561,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 45c | 333,102$149,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184,035.35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 56c | 113,636$63,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,636.16 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 50,403$27,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,721.39 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 43,282$23,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,615.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 29,483$15,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,856.76 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 55c | 27,270$14,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,998.5 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 59c | 20,791$12,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,220.52 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 56c | 9,111$5,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,102.16 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 6,411$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.88 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 44c | 5,416$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.19 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 44c | 4,546$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.68 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 56c | 3,953$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.04 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 3,060$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.85 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 43c | 2,400$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 63c | 2,384$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Under | 58c | 1,713$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 44c | 1,608$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.69 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 55c | 1,527$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.85 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Under | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7da…cd13backed Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 42c | 871.68$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.57 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Under | 59c | 847.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…b58ebacked Over | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Under | 58c | 799.9$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.94 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 55c | 798$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.9 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 44c | 770$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.2 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 24c | 749$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Over | 44c | 646.1$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 41c | 582.18$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.49 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Over | 63c | 571$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 43c | 543.57$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.13 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 42c | 499.9$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.94 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 41c | 488.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 55c | 477$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 55c | 477$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…2456backed Under | 57c | 447.37$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 55c | 417$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.35 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Under | 34c | 403.57$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 61c | 400$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 46c | 380.96$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.57 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 55c | 321$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.55 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 55c | 321$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.55 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 45c | 296$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.26 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Over | 46c | 287$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 57c | 256$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 40c | 243.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 77c | 236$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 59c | 227$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 48c | 223.39$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 58c | 215$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 55c | 213$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 41c | 190$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 41c | 179.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 55c | 177$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 55c | 177$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 59c | 174$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.