Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1bd18882206fa87dccd8ec40c3d717b77fbad77499a45a2fdca66c807d8e4ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AFC Bournemouthof Manchester United FC, AFC Bournemouth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked AFC Bournemouth | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Manchester United FC | 32c | 5,999$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…2496backed Manchester United FC | 33c | 5,455$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manchester United FC | 43c | 4,542$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed AFC Bournemouth | 70c | 4,306$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.42 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manchester United FC | 10c | 2,121$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed Manchester United FC | 46c | 2,015$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed AFC Bournemouth | 67c | 2,001$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.25 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed AFC Bournemouth | 48c | 1,113$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Manchester United FC | 33c | 947.24$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Manchester United FC | 32c | 939.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AFC Bournemouth | 68c | 938.36$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.28 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Manchester United FC | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Manchester United FC | 5c | 811.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed AFC Bournemouth | 67c | 763.02$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.8 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AFC Bournemouth | 59c | 753.45$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.3 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed AFC Bournemouth | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed AFC Bournemouth | 70c | 669.99$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed AFC Bournemouth | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Manchester United FC | 32c | 635.15$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.25 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Manchester United FC | 33c | 576.16$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.49 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed AFC Bournemouth | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Manchester United FC | 33c | 456.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed AFC Bournemouth | 68c | 440$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Manchester United FC | 44c | 397.91$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed AFC Bournemouth | 53c | 354.72$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Manchester United FC | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Manchester United FC | 32c | 312.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…e321backed AFC Bournemouth | 68c | 311.68$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed AFC Bournemouth | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…85bebacked Manchester United FC | 22c | 270$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…8259backed Manchester United FC | 31c | 252.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Manchester United FC | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Manchester United FC | 31c | 249.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Manchester United FC | 26c | 246.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Manchester United FC | 24c | 208.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Manchester United FC | 5c | 201.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Manchester United FC | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…4e80backed Manchester United FC | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked AFC Bournemouth | 61c | 199.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Manchester United FC | 31c | 191.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Manchester United FC | 31c | 179$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Manchester United FC | 31c | 178.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 173$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 171$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Manchester United FC | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 164$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed AFC Bournemouth | 70c | 163.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Manchester United FC | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Manchester United FC | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked AFC Bournemouth | 68c | 134.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 131$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AFC Bournemouth | 70c | 119$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Manchester United FC | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Manchester United FC | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…5e08backed Manchester United FC | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Manchester United FC | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed AFC Bournemouth | 56c | 81.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed AFC Bournemouth | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Manchester United FC | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…dbbbbacked Manchester United FC | 32c | 65.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Manchester United FC | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Manchester United FC | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Manchester United FC | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed AFC Bournemouth | 72c | 61.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Manchester United FC | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…0565backed Manchester United FC | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…e3d9backed AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 57.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked AFC Bournemouth | 68c | 55.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Manchester United FC | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Manchester United FC | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed AFC Bournemouth | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed AFC Bournemouth | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…0bdfbacked AFC Bournemouth | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Manchester United FC | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed AFC Bournemouth | 51c | 48.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Manchester United FC | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Manchester United FC | 33c | 46.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Manchester United FC | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed AFC Bournemouth | 68c | 45.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed AFC Bournemouth | 67c | 43.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Manchester United FC | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Manchester United FC | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Manchester United FC | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…407abacked Manchester United FC | 53c | 37.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Manchester United FC | 43c | 37.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ab7backed Manchester United FC | 33c | 37.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Manchester United FC | 57c | 35.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5017…4daebacked Manchester United FC | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…91aabacked Manchester United FC | 32c | 34.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed AFC Bournemouth | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)this page
- Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.