Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87fa1c61e36036ae1a0add349367f1f24488faf6346e62f0ce81738a8d87a419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeds Unitedof Liverpool, Leeds United
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Liverpool | 30c | 16,028$4,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,808.26 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Leeds United | 73c | 10,221$7,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Leeds United | 70c | 6,038$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.52 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Leeds United | 70c | 5,863$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.85 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Liverpool | 23c | 5,632$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.89 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liverpool | 20c | 3,059$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.17 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Liverpool | 25c | 3,040$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Leeds United | 69c | 1,295$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.31 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Liverpool | 31c | 1,184$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.96 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Leeds United | 76c | 1,150$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…701fbacked Leeds United | 72c | 1,125$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liverpool | 20c | 1,094$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.12 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Liverpool | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Leeds United | 74c | 828.26$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.05 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Leeds United | 70c | 661.33$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Liverpool | 30c | 615.94$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.36 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Leeds United | 70c | 608.49$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…021cbacked Liverpool | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Liverpool | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Leeds United | 66c | 473.43$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Leeds United | 70c | 394.41$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Liverpool | 25c | 348$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Liverpool | 29c | 341.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Liverpool | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Leeds United | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Liverpool | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…541dbacked Liverpool | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Liverpool | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…ed40backed Liverpool | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Liverpool | 27c | 167.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Leeds United | 71c | 137.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Leeds United | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Liverpool | 30c | 131.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Liverpool | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed Leeds United | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Liverpool | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Liverpool | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Leeds United | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…dc65backed Liverpool | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…beecbacked Liverpool | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…9c43backed Liverpool | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…4ddebacked Liverpool | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Leeds United | 74c | 96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…6c89backed Liverpool | 75c | 82.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Liverpool | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Liverpool | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Liverpool | 24c | 50.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Leeds United | 72c | 47.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…21e1backed Liverpool | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Liverpool | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Liverpool | 30c | 39.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Liverpool | 49c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…f826backed Leeds United | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Leeds United | 75c | 28.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Leeds United | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…9eb4backed Leeds United | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)this page
- Leeds United vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.