Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63ed4dab556ccdab7319a0c3ecab62c36cc9e22f5769c5931424f0718a1d1b1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 5,594$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.98 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe3…5470backed Under | 74c | 2,708$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 74c | 2,540$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.2 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 25c | 2,201$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.85 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 69c | 2,127$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.59 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 32c | 1,180$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.57 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 68c | 1,051$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.68 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 934.29$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.16 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 26c | 852.63$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.27 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 77c | 753.25$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Over | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…541dbacked Over | 27c | 500$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 34c | 414.61$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.76 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 37c | 353.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.84 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 67c | 328.15$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.86 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 31c | 297.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.15 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 20c | 255.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.58 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 18c | 240$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 53c | 212.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Over | 33c | 138$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -7.0wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Under | 44c | 129.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…f649backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f1…ce5fbacked Under | 76c | 64.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 48c | 62.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…43b6backed Under | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e4…8ccabacked Over | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…f169backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…c836backed Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…475cbacked Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 67c | 29.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…7589backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5this page
- Leeds United vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)Leeds United won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.