Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59026c18a9bf60874439140c55a12d0d36e937884eda0ff744e6ee0def74f345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 16,005$4,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,582.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 79c | 8,193$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.25 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 64c | 6,380$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.6 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 77c | 3,900$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.98 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 23c | 3,051$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.84 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 65c | 3,002$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.37 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 40c | 2,001$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Over | 78c | 1,719$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.18 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 22c | 1,286$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.85 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 1,060$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.88 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 68c | 887.15$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.69 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 33c | 728.06$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.16 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 73c | 684.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.75 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 567.95$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Under | 22c | 493$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Under | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 51c | 374.51$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.51 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…e856backed Over | 80c | 235$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…e755backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 20c | 195.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 78c | 185.47$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 74c | 165.16$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd112…ba53backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…bb79backed Over | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 19c | 136.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 79c | 135.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad7…f012backed Over | 75c | 133.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 80c | 119.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 78c | 114$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Over | 79c | 104.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…541dbacked Over | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f1…ce5fbacked Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 22c | 69.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Over | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6e…02cfbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…e5f7backed Over | 78c | 58.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 65c | 52.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…f169backed Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 78c | 39.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 31c | 35.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…187ebacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 64c | 19.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…9eb4backed Over | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 1.5this page
- Leeds United vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)Leeds United won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.