TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under45c9,609$4,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,293.62,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6caf…7ef6backed Under48c7,542$3,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,620250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over54c6,705$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.729946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over32c6,689$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,548.8111029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under45c5,340$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.8621853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over55c5,119$2,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.811,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over54c4,668$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.3412642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under34c4,467$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.435448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over74c4,029$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.784158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c3,963$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.786,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9813852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c2,808$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.291,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c2,318$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.292,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c1,942$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.564,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over65c1,767$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.71,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Under34c1,746$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under39c1,572$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.4419652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over57c1,411$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.116453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over55c1,393$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.687230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c1,285$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.3150644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Over54c1,087$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.042748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over54c1,019$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5230050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46021965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked Over55c1,000$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4552853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Under46c950$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10a…7ee7backed Over53c839.62$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x833a…5d74backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over42c744.14$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.571,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1901…21c8backed Under77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under47c638$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.862250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5c4…9a90backed Under48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c619.73$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.711,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under45c508.99$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23021839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under43c451.51$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0537036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over52c432.73$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0711142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18422534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.367642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6410343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over54c278.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.024656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Under45c266.15$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9213249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f6…368cbacked Over67c259.25$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.452142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed Under30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-63.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9417748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over50c196.6$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.39037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over62c190.5$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.397463.5%47 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under26c189.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6951542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over55c186.44$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.96854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be2…5fa6backed Over55c186$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.199958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.197352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over54c182$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.726642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…532bbacked Under46c173.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4910252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over54c166.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6727955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c158.28$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8149254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b33…6c89backed Under70c157.65$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.46per pick63cpaid-78.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over32c154.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4722040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.539561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over54c147.72$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9542862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under39c144.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8557744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8c…5ae2backed Over74c130.16$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0594…6d4dbacked Under77c130.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over54c114.81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8149544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2114252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Over53c110$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.78257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5532822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705c…4e11backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4a…e755backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452821.4%6 W · 22 L-7.0wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-60%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4711448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Over53c96.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.231637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.596553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b3…07f2backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2b6…032cbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Under76c92.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.983863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47d3…4255backed Over54c92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.322454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Over24c90$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.47440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over54c89.65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2413439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e9…9c03backed Under47c81.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over54c78.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3728654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Under42c77.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.610539%41 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under44c76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.530554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc13f…ca64backed Under44c75.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.21650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b22…e5f7backed Over77c75.65$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0735743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Over53c70.83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.292540%10 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e88…7d0cbacked Over48c69.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.191442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over65c64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6425256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over53c58.17$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.343737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8e6…c836backed Over55c56.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.361060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Over24c55.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.234358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208259.8%49 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.