Champions League · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b3d0bd1e51da51fafc65e27efdd5fdf3ecb906f641349918cade503c2b01b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof FC Bayern München, Sporting CP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sporting CP | 48c | 29,816$14,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,436.87 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 16,886$9,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,942.13 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked FC Bayern München | 54c | 12,958$7,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,942.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sporting CP | 42c | 8,234$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,453.84 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Sporting CP | 40c | 6,172$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sporting CP | 39c | 5,630$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.45 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sporting CP | 41c | 5,323$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.15 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sporting CP | 44c | 4,333$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.48 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sporting CP | 41c | 3,632$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.35 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 3,557$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sporting CP | 44c | 3,406$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.02 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 3,267$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.4 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Sporting CP | 48c | 3,031$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.36 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Sporting CP | 41c | 2,737$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.11 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked FC Bayern München | 54c | 2,552$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sporting CP | 42c | 2,413$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.03 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…07d5backed Sporting CP | 44c | 2,395$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…1b1abacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 2,385$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 1,819$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.81 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…9567backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 1,696$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.36 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sporting CP | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Sporting CP | 40c | 1,499$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.35 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 1,307$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…4fa1backed FC Bayern München | 62c | 1,283$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Sporting CP | 40c | 1,211$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.75 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Sporting CP | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked FC Bayern München | 57c | 1,144$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.92 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…461abacked Sporting CP | 10c | 1,104$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 1,018$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.53 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked FC Bayern München | 63c | 1,000$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.06 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed FC Bayern München | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…ec0bbacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 985.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.09 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…7b64backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 917.53$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 916.67$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…3f97backed FC Bayern München | 55c | 905.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked FC Bayern München | 10c | 890$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed FC Bayern München | 29c | 853.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked FC Bayern München | 49c | 808.1$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 799.63$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 798.1$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.1 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sporting CP | 40c | 793.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.54 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed FC Bayern München | 26c | 770.28$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 750$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Sporting CP | 40c | 745$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sporting CP | 41c | 699.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.99 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked FC Bayern München | 41c | 680.83$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.69 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 675.53$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Sporting CP | 40c | 665.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.55 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Sporting CP | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Sporting CP | 42c | 599.94$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.97 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…0741backed Sporting CP | 4c | 598.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -80%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sporting CP | 40c | 596$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.86 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 585$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked FC Bayern München | 36c | 558.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked FC Bayern München | 57c | 529$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.26 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 524.57$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.05 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…b616backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 511.58$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 510$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 503.32$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Sporting CP | 41c | 474.44$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.06 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…9a74backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 471.41$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked FC Bayern München | 58c | 457.24$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Sporting CP | 44c | 454.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sporting CP | 40c | 450$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 428$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 419.77$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.91 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Sporting CP | 41c | 415.39$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Sporting CP | 40c | 397$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.77 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked FC Bayern München | 57c | 394.86$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.79 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Sporting CP | 40c | 366.74$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Sporting CP | 41c | 339$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Sporting CP | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Sporting CP | 40c | 299$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Sporting CP | 40c | 299$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sporting CP | 40c | 299$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sporting CP | 40c | 298.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Sporting CP | 40c | 298$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Sporting CP | 40c | 297.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 286.67$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.67 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 281.19$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.