NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52f360b65a27649b80cf0c6e4ed695ac49ca954f492429355dc1dc5406ff0a83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,624,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,777,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,624,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 838 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Raptors | 54c | 374,176$202,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,054.88 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 46c | 357,587$165,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,189.83 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 45c | 239,970$108,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,048.58 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 55c | 184,965$100,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,848.49 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Celtics | 52c | 143,455$74,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,657.19 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…cab2backed Raptors | 52c | 100,585$52,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,304.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Raptors | 49c | 95,000$46,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,279.3 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Raptors | 59c | 93,200$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,000 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Raptors | 53c | 67,292$35,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,665.02 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Raptors | 22c | 60,000$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Raptors | 23c | 52,823$12,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,046.06 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 61c | 51,777$31,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,013.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 44c | 32,350$14,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,236 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics | 61c | 32,119$19,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,469.66 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Raptors | 51c | 28,682$14,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,623.69 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 53c | 26,945$14,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,414.26 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 53c | 23,860$12,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,243.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Raptors | 38c | 23,651$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Celtics | 42c | 23,113$9,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,405.51 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics | 49c | 22,648$11,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,607.81 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 53c | 21,302$11,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,289.33 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Celtics | 48c | 21,106$10,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,975.25 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Celtics | 47c | 20,360$9,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,844.25 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Celtics | 46c | 18,492$8,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,985.68 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 46c | 18,488$8,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,983.6 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Celtics | 50c | 17,369$8,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,703.17 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Celtics | 48c | 16,660$7,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,718.53 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 35c | 15,647$5,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,508.36 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 48c | 15,582$7,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,424.24 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…3e07backed Celtics | 70c | 15,537$10,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,625.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Raptors | 53c | 15,313$8,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,062.91 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Celtics | 48c | 14,620$7,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,619.02 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b5…0f8cbacked Celtics | 69c | 13,987$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,387.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Celtics | 52c | 13,947$7,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,693.41 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Celtics | 53c | 13,551$7,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,412.93 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 15c | 12,842$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.55 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics | 52c | 12,277$6,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,868.6 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Celtics | 46c | 11,738$5,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,338.52 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Raptors | 52c | 11,526$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,995.57 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Celtics | 58c | 11,303$6,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.77 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Raptors | 45c | 10,478$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693.28 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Raptors | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Celtics | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 49c | 9,116$4,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,483.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Celtics | 42c | 8,466$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,938.94 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe818…4bb3backed Celtics | 47c | 8,425$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Celtics | 47c | 8,305$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.65 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 53c | 7,838$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.34 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Raptors | 65c | 7,590$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 48c | 7,430$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Raptors | 60c | 6,635$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Celtics | 48c | 6,415$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.34 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Celtics | 41c | 6,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…a120backed Celtics | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 57c | 5,970$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…2365backed Raptors | 59c | 5,770$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.36 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…f543backed Raptors | 38c | 5,614$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Celtics | 46c | 5,275$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.3 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Raptors | 53c | 5,050$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.5 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Raptors | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Celtics | 68c | 5,000$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.36 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Celtics | 53c | 4,999$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.53 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 41c | 4,888$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.68 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Celtics | 64c | 4,873$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.02 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 60c | 4,620$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.41 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Celtics | 49c | 4,500$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Celtics | 50c | 4,400$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.67 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Raptors | 46c | 4,299$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.54 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Raptors | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Celtics | 49c | 4,086$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.33 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Raptors | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Celtics | 46c | 4,065$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.02 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raptors | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Celtics | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.96 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Raptors | 52c | 3,922$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.44 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Raptors | 52c | 3,825$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.05 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Raptors | 46c | 3,823$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.52 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Raptors | 46c | 3,768$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.07 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…1992backed Celtics | 41c | 3,660$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.46 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…6008backed Celtics | 52c | 3,627$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…0294backed Raptors | 48c | 3,612$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Raptors | 47c | 3,456$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.26 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…88c0backed Raptors | 45c | 3,334$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Raptors | 54c | 3,300$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Celtics | 57c | 3,200$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.79 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Celtics | 48c | 3,050$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Raptors | 14c | 3,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.97 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Celtics | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.98 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Raptors | 33c | 2,996$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Celtics | 54c | 2,963$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.2 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 48c | 2,872$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.92 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 50c | 2,803$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.7 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Raptors | 50c | 2,800$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.7 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 52c | 2,650$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.16 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Celtics | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Raptorsthis page
- Celtics vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.