NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c78cbc677c8668f5da819461522827052594bcb92b2ca8daa62e1fa430900bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 12,520$6,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,275.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 46c | 9,027$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 55c | 3,666$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Over | 53c | 3,603$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.75 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 54c | 1,848$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,680$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 15c | 1,320$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 45c | 1,223$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.6 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 820$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.46 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 12c | 815$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 55c | 468.27$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.72 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 424.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 408$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Under | 54c | 320$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 206$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 46c | 204.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 47c | 195$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 55c | 139.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 46c | 133.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 56c | 131$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Over | 51c | 121.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 43c | 118.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Over | 52c | 104.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Under | 55c | 67.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af0…1929backed Under | 55c | 67.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a81…b783backed Under | 56c | 65.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 23c | 55.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 46c | 51.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…8bfdbacked Under | 55c | 46.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Under | 55c | 44.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 45c | 44.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Under | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 169 | 68.6%116 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7481…279fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5this page
- Celtics vs. RaptorsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.