China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf27ad0c1e692a629475e95fa6c78424234981b88f587386d6e16daca3202ef77

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,635 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	21c	14,284$2,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,355.63	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x264a…85ecbacked Over	75c	7,109$5,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,315.36	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	9c	5,366$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,894.78	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	65c	4,823$3,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,132.97	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over	71c	2,934$2,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,083.03	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over	74c	2,500$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,850	184	65.8%121 W · 63 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	14c	1,948$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,682.07	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	18c	1,863$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,536.7	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	8c	1,031$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950.36	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under	35c	1,000$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	115	61.7%71 W · 44 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	26c	952.43$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.3	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over	52c	793.22$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.47	350	36.3%127 W · 223 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	7c	792.97$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735.96	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe032…410ebacked Over	75c	749.99$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.49	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+135%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under	42c	621.64$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.55	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under	38c	526.32$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.32	191	58.1%111 W · 80 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over	60c	468.75$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.09	306	42.8%131 W · 175 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under	37c	450$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.5	246	26%64 W · 182 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over	59c	407.69$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over	52c	400$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	141	46.1%65 W · 76 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x261c…6b12backed Over	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Over	45c	233$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.75	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x662d…7582backed Over	80c	200$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+4.1wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	8c	174.22$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.84	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over	57c	170.18$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	165	47.9%79 W · 86 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over	71c	167$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.88	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Over	62c	161.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Over	64c	160.12$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.47	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under	77c	155$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.65	30	73.3%22 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	62cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	15c	155$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.75	334	43.4%145 W · 189 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over	69c	144.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	56%28 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over	51c	134$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.34	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	80c	131.2$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.96	384	39.8%153 W · 231 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Under	60c	120$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.41	220	52.3%115 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under	44c	113.82$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.82	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4def…06e6backed Under	10c	111.11$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b25…93ccbacked Over	69c	100.42$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Over	71c	100$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	-19.9wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	+7.5wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa640…3b9fbacked Under	42c	99.99$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	30c	96.67$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.67	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under	47c	84.23$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.23	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-8.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44e6…24f3backed Over	69c	80.72$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.7	158	45.6%72 W · 86 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Over	77c	70$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.9	99	57.6%57 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	17c	64.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over	51c	60.78$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	100	50%50 W · 50 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	22c	54.82$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.76	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	45c	50.42$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.88	374	58.8%220 W · 154 L	+18.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…e2c0backed Over	75c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x055c…6a54backed Under	63c	47.62$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.62	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over	51c	47.06$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	78c	43.16$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.66	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under	33c	42.42$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.42	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under	26c	41.06$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.51	118	60.2%71 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over	78c	41$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.98	105	62.9%66 W · 39 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb69…b44ebacked Over	73c	40.87$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over	50c	37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.54	208	60.6%126 W · 82 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d52…df50backed Over	45c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c2…626ebacked Under	45c	34.36$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.94	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Under	64c	31.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19c…a6debacked Over	65c	30.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	69cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under	42c	29$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.82	237	43.9%104 W · 133 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Over	69c	24.56$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	114	50.9%58 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under	78c	19.84$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.36	201	50.7%102 W · 99 L	+11.3wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under	79c	18.87$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.96	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under	71c	14.38$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.12	198	62.1%123 W · 75 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5this page
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 1.5Under won
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5Under won
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 3.5Under won
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 4.5Under won
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: China PR (-1.5)Thailand won
Spread: China PR (-2.5)Thailand won
Spread: Thailand (-1.5)China PR won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event