China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1ce9da2b68505b1809f96ce0acbb7fb6d4297d25ac46c49ac50a462c1b43c9f

Rebuilt 43 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $48,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,568 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over	72c	13,662$9,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,802.88	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	46c	4,265$1,981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,283.92	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	29c	4,010$1,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,839.56	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	41c	3,488$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,068.33	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	29c	3,322$963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,358.83	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	68c	2,494$1,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$806.04	199	46.7%93 W · 106 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over	68c	2,381$1,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,618.82	115	61.7%71 W · 44 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x264a…85ecbacked Over	70c	2,200$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.98	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over	53c	1,963$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.65	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	28c	1,615$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,157.99	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under	28c	1,607$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,157.14	145	64.1%93 W · 52 L	+10.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	32c	1,482$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012.13	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	69c	1,357$941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.69	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	43c	1,239$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.17	228	13.2%30 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	12c	1,000$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under	28c	1,000$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	407	36.6%149 W · 258 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	57c	873.71$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.71	104	51.9%54 W · 50 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over	71c	845.07$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	85	61.2%52 W · 33 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe032…410ebacked Over	37c	749.99$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+135%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under	30c	570$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over	33c	500$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	141	46.1%65 W · 76 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over	41c	481.04$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.23	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	+7.0wins	+0.11per pick	28cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over	74c	405.41$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	102	61.8%63 W · 39 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under	28c	385.54$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.59	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	26c	372.12$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.9	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under	27c	368.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.49	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under	57c	351.02$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.02	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-5.3wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Over	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	48	25%12 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over	69c	300$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over	19c	289.7$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.96	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over	74c	270.27$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	148	66.9%99 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	73c	260.76$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.35	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	28c	248.23$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.69	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under	30c	240$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	237	32.1%76 W · 161 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fb…2de9backed Over	74c	236.56$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Over	57c	235.44$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	165	47.9%79 W · 86 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Over	44c	209.11$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.01	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4d…01c3backed Over	44c	205.83$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.51	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	27c	200.94$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.39	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	22c	200.64$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.03	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Over	65c	200$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over	74c	200$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	219	55.3%121 W · 98 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-48%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dde…592abacked Under	78c	192.41$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.41	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	30c	189.17$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.18	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under	66c	180.94$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.52	73	23.3%17 W · 56 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Over	37c	180$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	134	43.3%58 W · 76 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	47c	179.98$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.99	504	50.2%253 W · 251 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	45c	165$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.75	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Over	37c	150.46$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.55	151	56.3%85 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…6099backed Over	32c	150$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	27c	145$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.14	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9456…af0cbacked Under	76c	140.5$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	62	64.5%40 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f01…c213backed Over	74c	135.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	70c	133$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.1	55	63.6%35 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over	68c	110$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.8	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over	74c	108.08$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.98	271	54.6%148 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	27c	100$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ec…2ba2backed Over	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa640…3b9fbacked Over	66c	100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Over	68c	99.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.99	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under	41c	93.66$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.66	105	40%42 W · 63 L	-10.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-27%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	119	39.5%47 W · 72 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	70c	79.29$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.63	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under	29c	78.64$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.83	709	48.9%347 W · 362 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over	64c	77.47$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.58	125	54.4%68 W · 57 L	-7.4wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Over	22c	77.27$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	131	19.1%25 W · 106 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	43c	75.42$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.43	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	53c	69.81$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Over	72c	67.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.95	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb157…4ebdbacked Over	71c	64.79$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	50	62%31 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0255…4eb0backed Over	74c	60$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.31	122	63.9%78 W · 44 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c5f…d075backed Under	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+3.5wins	+0.25per pick	47cpaid	+57.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f43…a070backed Over	60c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	67cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Under	80c	37.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	71c	37.35$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.57	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x018a…5e65backed Over	73c	34.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	84	67.9%57 W · 27 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	71cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under	71c	33.8$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7b5…f200backed Over	60c	33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Over	67c	31.46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	150	62.7%94 W · 56 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over	72c	31.13$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.41	183	71%130 W · 53 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over	74c	30.67$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	100	68%68 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x446d…a0b2backed Over	71c	30$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	72	69.4%50 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	70cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26cd…2c85backed Over	44c	29.43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over	70c	28.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	117	75.2%88 W · 29 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under	71c	28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.12	332	45.5%151 W · 181 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16d8…3ee1backed Over	70c	14.43$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 1.5this page
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5Under won
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5Under won
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 3.5Under won
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 4.5Under won
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: China PR (-1.5)Thailand won
Spread: China PR (-2.5)Thailand won
Spread: Thailand (-1.5)China PR won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event