Fifa International · resolved market
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6c9c48cabe5fda96f979a8ea1781529ffe55c6616858e2561db039710f1cb4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 29c | 12,230$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 71c | 3,278$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.59 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 1,957$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.43 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 1,825$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 71c | 1,800$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168d…015abacked Under | 76c | 1,315$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 71c | 960$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 71c | 780$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 78c | 761.29$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 71c | 720$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 75c | 647.57$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.83 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 78c | 602.77$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 24c | 553.21$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 71c | 468$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 24c | 425.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 22c | 413.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 74c | 411.56$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 73c | 342$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 73c | 342$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 23c | 327.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 27c | 325.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 6c | 229.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…5187backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…0fa4backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 76c | 213.79$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 176$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 23c | 149.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f01…c213backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…7513backed Over | 17c | 111.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 77c | 107.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…7582backed Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…9102backed Under | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Under | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 78c | 33.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 29.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2520…4cf1backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 78c | 22.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…e17dbacked Under | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Under | 75c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 3.5this page
- China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5Under won
- China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 1.5Under won
- China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5Under won
- China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 4.5Under won
- China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: China PR (-1.5)Thailand won
- Spread: China PR (-2.5)Thailand won
- Spread: Thailand (-1.5)China PR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.