Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Thailand (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0b8a71b9fa4bb4ffcc866e760485037b177eab859d3951f8f6680e4d509c704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- China PRof Thailand, China PR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thailand | 6c | 2,049$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…68e5backed Thailand | 9c | 1,465$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Thailand | 7c | 1,446$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0610…d264backed Thailand | 7c | 1,348$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Thailand | 4c | 1,159$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…529cbacked Thailand | 8c | 1,030$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…442ebacked Thailand | 8c | 1,025$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…c76bbacked Thailand | 8c | 1,024$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…7b7abacked Thailand | 8c | 1,024$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…82ddbacked Thailand | 8c | 1,018$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9be…441abacked Thailand | 8c | 989$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf63…95febacked Thailand | 8c | 984$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4636…25f4backed Thailand | 8c | 975$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…a8f5backed Thailand | 8c | 965.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4e…35a7backed Thailand | 8c | 957.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…21ffbacked Thailand | 8c | 951.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c9…a86fbacked Thailand | 8c | 949$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…2fe8backed Thailand | 8c | 941$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…8094backed Thailand | 8c | 940.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb043…a4fcbacked Thailand | 8c | 940$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…6c24backed Thailand | 7c | 934$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0680…9e57backed Thailand | 8c | 932.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da0…ed6bbacked Thailand | 7c | 928$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…3cc9backed Thailand | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…a593backed Thailand | 7c | 890$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f0…3432backed Thailand | 7c | 890$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd9…6c80backed Thailand | 7c | 863$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…7011backed Thailand | 7c | 841$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Thailand | 6c | 518.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Thailand | 5c | 366.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…6e6fbacked Thailand | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…fa73backed Thailand | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thailand (-1.5)this page
- China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5Under won
- China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 1.5Under won
- China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5Under won
- China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 3.5Under won
- China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 4.5Under won
- China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: China PR (-1.5)Thailand won
- Spread: China PR (-2.5)Thailand won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.