TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under56c6,039$3,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.1223949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over43c4,600$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.0336250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over49c4,089$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Under57c3,510$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.546939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.777452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a41…b2acbacked Over6c3,136$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under76c3,028$2,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.842,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over17c2,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42522813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over43c2,400$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over44c2,096$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.3230431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c2,024$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.364,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under57c2,014$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.025242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Under63c1,905$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.791435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over43c1,902$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.7638351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over43c1,800$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under57c1,400$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60211448.2%55 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under58c1,381$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.510451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Over47c1,276$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.728355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51639050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c1,151$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.141,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over49c1,124$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.1721747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f5c…9353backed Over48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52816540.6%67 W · 98 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over43c1,042$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.2538451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over46c999.97$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9933149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over43c960$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.835451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under52c932.45$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.0212255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over43c900$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38735352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over43c899.97$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.9935251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Under57c899$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.572650%13 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over36c816.65$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.094,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over43c780$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.439951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under52c771.98$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5512146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked Under55c753.96$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.767451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under67c747.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.288949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under51c743.82$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.251,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Under53c741.51$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5110349.5%51 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Over43c720.93$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over43c719.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5940848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over45c710.15$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.2613850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over47c663.37$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.41,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over48c662.5$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…cc26backed Over46c660.62$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.664233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over46c657$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Over41c630$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.38158%47 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29437451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under52c599.99$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28814051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over35c570$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.510331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over43c562.46$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.8637051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5616153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under53c532$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9210744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c528.93$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.161,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Under57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.323164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2353450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under57c491.23$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.238056.3%45 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.12,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.12,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over43c468$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2437452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over43c467.98$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2334851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over35c451.6$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1774034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c437.73$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.042,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under57c334.56$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8648152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e98…9046backed Over43c330$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over16c329.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12937753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12934351.9%178 W · 165 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over31c299.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9314146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over44c299.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over43c299.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9933653.3%179 W · 157 L+0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under52c253.54$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.71,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over44c252.7$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.194949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d11…03aebacked Over23c248.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a30…7b6cbacked Over39c247.46$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.512441.7%10 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+112.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under57c240.25$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under58c236.89$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.972,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f3…5187backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9612544%55 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237724.7%19 W · 58 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+56.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over46c199.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c186.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8241451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under54c186.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8235549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over39c182.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.27245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c180.92$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.843,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under53c167$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.492,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7e…f568backed Under51c156.3$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.593537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over44c156$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6416547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over18c126.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8513830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over47c126.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over49c124.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2431554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under56c124$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.623453%124 W · 110 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under57c119.96$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5823732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under56c112.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.514564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4820050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662d…7582backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4746525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.