TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c5f…d075

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.96
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+94%+$47.02
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$74.99
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$28.99
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.