Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c0605ce3b2ccfbfcbccea6bb2f279eacd78bd7f6484ec63ad89c6c7721659da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 436.24$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.76 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 49c | 392.5$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 352.03$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.01 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 53c | 186.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 155.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 144.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Yes | 53c | 121.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 48c | 119.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 112.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…b478backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 91 | 63.7%58 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 50c | 79.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 50c | 78.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed No | 52c | 75.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 45c | 47.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…ceebbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed No | 53c | 37.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Yes | 52c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 47c | 24.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 50c | 23.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…d075backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.