Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bd0b9e34acf5f8f80f533ac254d8fc6b0d8ff81b85799eb8e2a03c6c809a336
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 46c | 2,423$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.79 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 51c | 1,962$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,841$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.05 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 45c | 1,106$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 75c | 931.56$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.2 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 861.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.87 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 74c | 676$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 37c | 553.24$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 541.94$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.17 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 43c | 434.48$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.69 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 51c | 382.6$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.29 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 53c | 358.54$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.37 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Under | 8c | 337.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.48 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 313.29$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.98 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 28c | 274.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 44c | 239.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 75c | 238.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.24 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 221.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…52bcbacked Over | 50c | 201.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 173.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed Under | 17c | 158.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 44c | 152.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 56c | 150.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 70c | 143.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 78c | 131.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 41c | 122.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 110.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Over | 49c | 101.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 57c | 94.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 35c | 91.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ecc5backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 56c | 82.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 68c | 82.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 74.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 72.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 57c | 72.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 44c | 70.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 46c | 65.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 57c | 64.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 56c | 58.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 53.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…c607backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 35c | 42.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 37c | 41.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 55c | 41.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 58c | 39.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 45c | 33.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 54c | 32.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 49c | 30.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 73c | 28.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 62c | 27.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…e576backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 48c | 24.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5this page
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.