Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c2e61d0bbc2f7c693cde0b032c1ccc4c3490aba72fa3409069f723894845df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Under | 76c | 1,941$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.93 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 25c | 1,209$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 1,170$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.86 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 45c | 1,089$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 54c | 940.66$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.94 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 704.95$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 23c | 360.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 76c | 332.91$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 197.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 196$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 76c | 143.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 23c | 123.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 23c | 113.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…77dcbacked Over | 24c | 81.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 61c | 75.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 39c | 74.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 66c | 62.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 129 | 53.5%69 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…8f7dbacked Under | 76c | 54.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 53c | 37.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 31c | 31.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 55c | 27.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 78c | 23.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 77c | 20.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 19.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5this page
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.