Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97915c5817c70c3c6aa18cb013ede4d3d41312380ae2154ab59eb38aaf24ce87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 32c | 1,980$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.24 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…02babacked Over | 66c | 1,493$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.62 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 1,135$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.49 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 29c | 334.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 320.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 319.45$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 61c | 299$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 255$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 29c | 164.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 159.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 40c | 139.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Over | 70c | 117.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 30c | 75.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 71c | 71.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 37c | 67.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Over | 70c | 52.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Over | 71c | 31.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 69c | 24.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5this page
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.