World Politics · resolved market
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36c602dc7d805c2d1fc931724693fe512f43110414a0cd455a7d8173d8e5546e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 64c | 5,859$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 35c | 4,126$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.62 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 53c | 3,741$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.44 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 42c | 2,401$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.29 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed No | 1c | 2,034$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed No | 1c | 1,989$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed Yes | 75c | 1,938$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1419backed Yes | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b088backed Yes | 69c | 1,898$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Yes | 54c | 1,869$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.7 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 59c | 1,738$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.22 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebf…5bfabacked No | 45c | 1,430$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 66c | 1,402$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.71 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +472.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 41c | 1,389$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 62c | 1,379$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.62 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…f10bbacked No | 1c | 1,365$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked No | 38c | 1,363$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked Yes | 43c | 1,351$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.07 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 56c | 1,207$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…480cbacked No | 40c | 1,190$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.39 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 80c | 1,168$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.95 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 64c | 1,138$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…54cdbacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed Yes | 60c | 939.29$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…2cd1backed No | 44c | 924.89$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.61 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 60c | 882.37$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.33 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 63c | 830.94$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.07 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 58c | 814.17$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.9 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 3c | 802.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 57c | 707.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yes | 58c | 700$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6257…a6c9backed Yes | 57c | 698.37$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 52c | 637.97$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.74 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 42c | 619.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.88 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 53c | 590.04$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.32 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…3589backed No | 38c | 531.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 55c | 527.74$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…2e45backed Yes | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 71c | 500.84$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.72 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…0391backed Yes | 56c | 498.14$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 41c | 468$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.28 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90cc…4d2cbacked Yes | 68c | 439.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a25…30eebacked Yes | 46c | 435.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…c67fbacked No | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…ac95backed Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…e2c0backed No | 41c | 399.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 56c | 351.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…e0e7backed No | 40c | 340.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 64c | 320$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 65c | 264.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 55c | 260.53$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fb…e1e3backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed No | 60c | 249.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…3adfbacked Yes | 64c | 246.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 234.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 48c | 234$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 41c | 221.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 65c | 220.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…fb6abacked Yes | 63c | 203.17$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 62c | 202.7$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…4bddbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…4e5bbacked No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…b8b2backed Yes | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked No | 20c | 199.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…4c9fbacked Yes | 62c | 189.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 34c | 182.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…5991backed No | 51c | 180.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed No | 43c | 179.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…073dbacked No | 56c | 179.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6cdbbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…a2a2backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x600d…96c1backed No | 61c | 162.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…20a3backed Yes | 40c | 150$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…4c80backed Yes | 72c | 149.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 59c | 140.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed Yes | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…0ca3backed Yes | 75c | 112.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 45cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…94aabacked No | 38c | 107.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19e…1db7backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af8…4ccebacked Yes | 35c | 99.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f97…fa52backed Yes | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0419…9cd7backed Yes | 42c | 94.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…4952backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 87.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…ba2abacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…8770backed No | 65c | 77.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…f7ecbacked Yes | 56c | 77.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…bb87backed Yes | 60c | 75.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.