Middle East · resolved market
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0038d821cf7ab3b09bf186336c316028ea001ba3f7d7c7b55aa65d97e41189fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 21c | 5,960$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.1 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed Yes | 13c | 5,117$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.49 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…140abacked Yes | 15c | 5,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 16c | 3,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 12c | 3,085$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,922$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.82 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…81bdbacked Yes | 22c | 2,110$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | -17.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed Yes | 17c | 1,922$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.66 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…706fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,643$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…bb66backed No | 78c | 1,633$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.2 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 16c | 1,557$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.56 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 4c | 1,506$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 18c | 1,503$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,485$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.47 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 1,208$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Yes | 13c | 908.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc50…7e68backed Yes | 19c | 834.14$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 19c | 751.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 76c | 700$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 657$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 12c | 598.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 4c | 570.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e0…4466backed Yes | 21c | 550$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 464.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 7c | 445$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 8c | 432.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 78c | 426.21$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 415.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed No | 78c | 404.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 30c | 381.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 7c | 372.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 304.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed73…4465backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…b771backed Yes | 21c | 293.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 24c | 286.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 18c | 277.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…c43ebacked Yes | 23c | 259.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +428.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c2…adaabacked Yes | 19c | 249$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab39…c22fbacked Yes | 15c | 243.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 9c | 212.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…8bb6backed Yes | 16c | 211.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8e…4cacbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…725cbacked Yes | 29c | 172.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 80c | 164.32$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 65c | 161.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 19c | 154.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b7…0704backed No | 79c | 153.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 80c | 153.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…03b5backed Yes | 21c | 142.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +262.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…e45abacked Yes | 19c | 140.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…9d51backed No | 74c | 135.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 38c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…6bfebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f7…ebccbacked Yes | 22c | 121.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…fa4bbacked Yes | 21c | 103.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…262dbacked No | 69c | 102.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 17c | 101.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…ab3dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…8c4ebacked No | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 80c | 99.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 65c | 94.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 92.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…11cdbacked Yes | 23c | 65.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ca…7605backed Yes | 21c | 64.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480c…a36abacked Yes | 35c | 57.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…bb8abacked Yes | 26c | 50.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…e2c0backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed No | 72c | 38.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…439ebacked No | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…d3a5backed Yes | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…96a7backed No | 73c | 29.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bff…1bf5backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…32c0backed No | 68c | 20.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3607backed No | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966b…2ee6backed No | 76c | 16.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 66c | 16.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 99 | 81.8%81 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…323ebacked No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?this page
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.