Fifa International · resolved market
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34a26351f589914aa738b1b1a324508caca38b11310488ff9b2868fe240470c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 12c | 14,198$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.82 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 7c | 7,406$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…8bfcbacked Under | 8c | 1,509$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…7104backed Under | 20c | 1,467$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 9c | 1,287$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…2498backed Under | 8c | 1,030$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…190cbacked Under | 8c | 1,030$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…550fbacked Under | 8c | 1,020$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…ed4dbacked Under | 8c | 1,010$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…6943backed Under | 8c | 1,010$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 8c | 582.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 7c | 537.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 429.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 74c | 428.58$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 73c | 340.19$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 28c | 292.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 15c | 243.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 14c | 209.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf5…6db3backed Over | 73c | 194.79$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 8c | 153.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Under | 9c | 153.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 74c | 134.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…0f86backed Over | 79c | 89.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 28c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…e2c0backed Over | 80c | 69.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 73c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 0.5this page
- Georgia vs. Romania: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 1.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5Under won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 3.5Under won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 4.5Under won
- Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-1.5)Romania won
- Spread: Georgia (-2.5)Romania won
- Spread: Romania (-1.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Romania (-2.5)Georgia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.